The tightly bunched probabilities for the Irish Open first-round leader reflect the inherent unpredictability of posting the lowest opening score on a new links layout at Trump Doonbeg, where variable winds around 14-18 mph and possible early rain can reward accurate ball-strikers and short-game specialists over pure distance. Jordan Smith, Pádraig Harrington, and Patrick Reed sit atop trader consensus due to Harrington’s extensive Irish links knowledge across dozens of appearances, Reed’s strong recent DP World Tour form and Race to Dubai leadership, and Smith’s consistent recent scoring. A deep field of in-form players—including Jacob Skov Olesen with multiple strong 18-hole positions lately and Oliver Lindell’s streak of sub-70 openers—creates parity, as any well-prepared contender can capitalize on favorable early conditions or pairings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJordan Smith 98%
Padraig Harrington 98%
Jon Rahm 35%
Joaquin Niemann 34%
Jordan Smith
98%
Padraig Harrington
98%
Jon Rahm
35%
Joaquin Niemann
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Matt Wallace
33%
Matthew Jordan
33%
Oliver Lindell
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Casey Jarvis
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
David Puig
33%
Adrian Meronk
32%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Liam Nolan
32%
Luke Donald
32%
Manuel Elvira
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
32%
Max Kennedy
32%
Mikael Lindberg
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ashun Wu
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Gavins
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Gregorio De Leo
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
32%
Ignacio Elvira
32%
Jason Scrivener
32%
Jayden Schaper
32%
Jeff Winther
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
32%
Joakim Lagergren
32%
Joseph Dean
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Guido Migliozzi
32%
Haotong Li
32%
Ivan Cantero
32%
J. C. Ritchie
32%
Jack Senior
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
32%
Jens Dantorp
32%
Joel Girrbach
32%
Johannes Veerman
32%
John Catlin
32%
Joost Luiten
32%
Jordan Gumberg
32%
Jorge Campillo
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Calum Hill
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Mark Power
32%
Martin Couvra
32%
Matteo Manassero
32%
Michael Hollick
32%
Nathan Kimsey
32%
Kazuma Kobori
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
32%
Laurie Canter
32%
Marcus Armitage
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
32%
Niklas Lemke
32%
Niklas Noergaard
32%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
31%
Patrick Reed
31%
Marcel Schneider
30%
Bernd Wiesberger
30%
Erik van Rooyen
30%
Kota Kaneko
30%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
29%
David Ravetto
28%
Frederic Lacroix
28%
Harry Hall
28%
Connor Syme
28%
Maximilian Steinlechner
28%
Julien Guerrier
28%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
28%
Paul Waring
28%
Jung-Hwan Lee
26%
Jordan Smith 98%
Padraig Harrington 98%
Jon Rahm 35%
Joaquin Niemann 34%
Jordan Smith
98%
Padraig Harrington
98%
Jon Rahm
35%
Joaquin Niemann
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Matt Wallace
33%
Matthew Jordan
33%
Oliver Lindell
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Casey Jarvis
33%
Jacob Skov Olesen
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
David Puig
33%
Adrian Meronk
32%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Liam Nolan
32%
Luke Donald
32%
Manuel Elvira
32%
Marcus Helligkilde
32%
Max Kennedy
32%
Mikael Lindberg
32%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
32%
Pablo Larrazabal
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ashun Wu
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Gavins
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Gregorio De Leo
32%
Hennie Du Plessis
32%
Ignacio Elvira
32%
Jason Scrivener
32%
Jayden Schaper
32%
Jeff Winther
32%
Jeong-Weon Ko
32%
Joakim Lagergren
32%
Joseph Dean
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Guido Migliozzi
32%
Haotong Li
32%
Ivan Cantero
32%
J. C. Ritchie
32%
Jack Senior
32%
Jacques Kruyswijk
32%
Jens Dantorp
32%
Joel Girrbach
32%
Johannes Veerman
32%
John Catlin
32%
Joost Luiten
32%
Jordan Gumberg
32%
Jorge Campillo
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Calum Hill
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Mark Power
32%
Martin Couvra
32%
Matteo Manassero
32%
Michael Hollick
32%
Nathan Kimsey
32%
Kazuma Kobori
32%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
32%
Laurie Canter
32%
Marcus Armitage
32%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
32%
Niklas Lemke
32%
Niklas Noergaard
32%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
31%
Patrick Reed
31%
Marcel Schneider
30%
Bernd Wiesberger
30%
Erik van Rooyen
30%
Kota Kaneko
30%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
29%
David Ravetto
28%
Frederic Lacroix
28%
Harry Hall
28%
Connor Syme
28%
Maximilian Steinlechner
28%
Julien Guerrier
28%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
28%
Paul Waring
28%
Jung-Hwan Lee
26%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.europeantour.com/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.europeantour.com/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities for the Irish Open first-round leader reflect the inherent unpredictability of posting the lowest opening score on a new links layout at Trump Doonbeg, where variable winds around 14-18 mph and possible early rain can reward accurate ball-strikers and short-game specialists over pure distance. Jordan Smith, Pádraig Harrington, and Patrick Reed sit atop trader consensus due to Harrington’s extensive Irish links knowledge across dozens of appearances, Reed’s strong recent DP World Tour form and Race to Dubai leadership, and Smith’s consistent recent scoring. A deep field of in-form players—including Jacob Skov Olesen with multiple strong 18-hole positions lately and Oliver Lindell’s streak of sub-70 openers—creates parity, as any well-prepared contender can capitalize on favorable early conditions or pairings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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