Strong containment measures and the virus's requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids have kept the ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak localized primarily to eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited areas of Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths reported by mid-August 2026 despite its PHEIC designation. Official CDC and WHO assessments show no cases outside the region, extremely low risk of U.S. or sustained international transmission, and successful resolution of the Uganda cluster, aligning with historical patterns where Ebola has not achieved pandemic spread. Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" reflects these epidemiological realities, though shifts could occur if urban transmission accelerates or the virus evolves higher transmissibility before year-end surveillance updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% โอกาส
$691,708 ปริมาณ
$691,708 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$691,708 ปริมาณ
$691,708 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong containment measures and the virus's requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids have kept the ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak localized primarily to eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited areas of Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths reported by mid-August 2026 despite its PHEIC designation. Official CDC and WHO assessments show no cases outside the region, extremely low risk of U.S. or sustained international transmission, and successful resolution of the Uganda cluster, aligning with historical patterns where Ebola has not achieved pandemic spread. Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" reflects these epidemiological realities, though shifts could occur if urban transmission accelerates or the virus evolves higher transmissibility before year-end surveillance updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691,708วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong containment measures and the virus's requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids have kept the ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak localized primarily to eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited areas of Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths reported by mid-August 2026 despite its PHEIC designation. Official CDC and WHO assessments show no cases outside the region, extremely low risk of U.S. or sustained international transmission, and successful resolution of the Uganda cluster, aligning with historical patterns where Ebola has not achieved pandemic spread. Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" reflects these epidemiological realities, though shifts could occur if urban transmission accelerates or the virus evolves higher transmissibility before year-end surveillance updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691,708วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong containment measures and the virus's requirement for direct contact with bodily fluids have kept the ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak localized primarily to eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited areas of Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths reported by mid-August 2026 despite its PHEIC designation. Official CDC and WHO assessments show no cases outside the region, extremely low risk of U.S. or sustained international transmission, and successful resolution of the Uganda cluster, aligning with historical patterns where Ebola has not achieved pandemic spread. Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" reflects these epidemiological realities, though shifts could occur if urban transmission accelerates or the virus evolves higher transmissibility before year-end surveillance updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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