Ongoing surveillance by WHO, CDC, and national health ministries shows the 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak remains concentrated in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, with roughly 4,800 confirmed cases and 2,200 deaths reported by mid-August. Limited exportations to Uganda (now declared over) and isolated detections elsewhere have not produced sustained community transmission outside the epicenter. Official data indicate case fatality around 46%, consistent with historical Bundibugyo strains, while international contact tracing, ring vaccination, and travel screening have kept global spread minimal. Trader consensus at 96% “No” reflects this epidemiological containment and low probability of meeting pandemic thresholds—widespread, multi-continental transmission—by year-end. A realistic shift would require rapid expansion into new regions with unchecked chains of transmission before containment measures scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% โอกาส
$691,916 ปริมาณ
$691,916 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$691,916 ปริมาณ
$691,916 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing surveillance by WHO, CDC, and national health ministries shows the 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak remains concentrated in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, with roughly 4,800 confirmed cases and 2,200 deaths reported by mid-August. Limited exportations to Uganda (now declared over) and isolated detections elsewhere have not produced sustained community transmission outside the epicenter. Official data indicate case fatality around 46%, consistent with historical Bundibugyo strains, while international contact tracing, ring vaccination, and travel screening have kept global spread minimal. Trader consensus at 96% “No” reflects this epidemiological containment and low probability of meeting pandemic thresholds—widespread, multi-continental transmission—by year-end. A realistic shift would require rapid expansion into new regions with unchecked chains of transmission before containment measures scale.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691,916วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing surveillance by WHO, CDC, and national health ministries shows the 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak remains concentrated in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, with roughly 4,800 confirmed cases and 2,200 deaths reported by mid-August. Limited exportations to Uganda (now declared over) and isolated detections elsewhere have not produced sustained community transmission outside the epicenter. Official data indicate case fatality around 46%, consistent with historical Bundibugyo strains, while international contact tracing, ring vaccination, and travel screening have kept global spread minimal. Trader consensus at 96% “No” reflects this epidemiological containment and low probability of meeting pandemic thresholds—widespread, multi-continental transmission—by year-end. A realistic shift would require rapid expansion into new regions with unchecked chains of transmission before containment measures scale.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691,916วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing surveillance by WHO, CDC, and national health ministries shows the 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak remains concentrated in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, with roughly 4,800 confirmed cases and 2,200 deaths reported by mid-August. Limited exportations to Uganda (now declared over) and isolated detections elsewhere have not produced sustained community transmission outside the epicenter. Official data indicate case fatality around 46%, consistent with historical Bundibugyo strains, while international contact tracing, ring vaccination, and travel screening have kept global spread minimal. Trader consensus at 96% “No” reflects this epidemiological containment and low probability of meeting pandemic thresholds—widespread, multi-continental transmission—by year-end. A realistic shift would require rapid expansion into new regions with unchecked chains of transmission before containment measures scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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