The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s commanding 75% market-implied probability stems from its status as the clear frontrunner following 2026 Emmy nominations, where it earned nods across variety categories including writing and directing for its final season. Industry predictors from Variety and The Hollywood Reporter place it atop the field, reflecting consistent critical favor, strong episode volume, and the narrative boost of a long-running host’s send-off. The other nominees—Saturday Night Live, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live!—trail significantly, as historical voting patterns in the merged variety category have favored established late-night consistency over sketch or weekly formats in recent cycles. Traders appear to be pricing in limited room for an upset before the September ceremony.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.8%
“Saturday Night Live” 4.5%
“The Daily Show” 3.3%
$88,609 ปริมาณ
$88,609 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
6%
“Saturday Night Live”
5%
“The Daily Show”
3%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
3%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.8%
“Saturday Night Live” 4.5%
“The Daily Show” 3.3%
$88,609 ปริมาณ
$88,609 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$30,465 ปริมาณ
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$16,704 ปริมาณ
6%
“Saturday Night Live”
$9,986 ปริมาณ
5%
“The Daily Show”
$10,250 ปริมาณ
3%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$21,203 ปริมาณ
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s commanding 75% market-implied probability stems from its status as the clear frontrunner following 2026 Emmy nominations, where it earned nods across variety categories including writing and directing for its final season. Industry predictors from Variety and The Hollywood Reporter place it atop the field, reflecting consistent critical favor, strong episode volume, and the narrative boost of a long-running host’s send-off. The other nominees—Saturday Night Live, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live!—trail significantly, as historical voting patterns in the merged variety category have favored established late-night consistency over sketch or weekly formats in recent cycles. Traders appear to be pricing in limited room for an upset before the September ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,609วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s commanding 75% market-implied probability stems from its status as the clear frontrunner following 2026 Emmy nominations, where it earned nods across variety categories including writing and directing for its final season. Industry predictors from Variety and The Hollywood Reporter place it atop the field, reflecting consistent critical favor, strong episode volume, and the narrative boost of a long-running host’s send-off. The other nominees—Saturday Night Live, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live!—trail significantly, as historical voting patterns in the merged variety category have favored established late-night consistency over sketch or weekly formats in recent cycles. Traders appear to be pricing in limited room for an upset before the September ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,609วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s commanding 75% market-implied probability stems from its status as the clear frontrunner following 2026 Emmy nominations, where it earned nods across variety categories including writing and directing for its final season. Industry predictors from Variety and The Hollywood Reporter place it atop the field, reflecting consistent critical favor, strong episode volume, and the narrative boost of a long-running host’s send-off. The other nominees—Saturday Night Live, Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live!—trail significantly, as historical voting patterns in the merged variety category have favored established late-night consistency over sketch or weekly formats in recent cycles. Traders appear to be pricing in limited room for an upset before the September ceremony.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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