Mount Etna remains in an ongoing eruptive phase that began in late 2022 and continued into 2026 with flank lava flows and intermittent ash emissions, including a new fissure opening on January 1 and renewed activity noted in mid-June. Most recent events have been dominated by effusive rather than strongly explosive behavior, typically registering VEI 0–1 on the Volcanic Explosivity Index. Official monitoring from INGV and the Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program shows no confirmed VEI 2+ episode yet this year, supporting the market’s modest lean toward “No.” While Etna’s frequent paroxysmal episodes can escalate quickly, the current pattern of low-to-moderate explosivity and the passage of half the year without a qualifying event keep trader consensus slightly favoring absence of a VEI 2+ eruption through December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEtna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Etna volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 2 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred. If there is an ongoing Etna eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.
Mount Etna remains in an ongoing eruptive phase that began in late 2022 and continued into 2026 with flank lava flows and intermittent ash emissions, including a new fissure opening on January 1 and renewed activity noted in mid-June. Most recent events have been dominated by effusive rather than strongly explosive behavior, typically registering VEI 0–1 on the Volcanic Explosivity Index. Official monitoring from INGV and the Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program shows no confirmed VEI 2+ episode yet this year, supporting the market’s modest lean toward “No.” While Etna’s frequent paroxysmal episodes can escalate quickly, the current pattern of low-to-moderate explosivity and the passage of half the year without a qualifying event keep trader consensus slightly favoring absence of a VEI 2+ eruption through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Etna volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 2 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred. If there is an ongoing Etna eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred. If there is an ongoing Etna eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Etna volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 2 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred. If there is an ongoing Etna eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.
Mount Etna remains in an ongoing eruptive phase that began in late 2022 and continued into 2026 with flank lava flows and intermittent ash emissions, including a new fissure opening on January 1 and renewed activity noted in mid-June. Most recent events have been dominated by effusive rather than strongly explosive behavior, typically registering VEI 0–1 on the Volcanic Explosivity Index. Official monitoring from INGV and the Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program shows no confirmed VEI 2+ episode yet this year, supporting the market’s modest lean toward “No.” While Etna’s frequent paroxysmal episodes can escalate quickly, the current pattern of low-to-moderate explosivity and the passage of half the year without a qualifying event keep trader consensus slightly favoring absence of a VEI 2+ eruption through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Etna volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 2 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred. If there is an ongoing Etna eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred. If there is an ongoing Etna eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mount Etna remains in an ongoing eruptive phase that began in late 2022 and continued into 2026 with flank lava flows and intermittent ash emissions, including a new fissure opening on January 1 and renewed activity noted in mid-June. Most recent events have been dominated by effusive rather than strongly explosive behavior, typically registering VEI 0–1 on the Volcanic Explosivity Index. Official monitoring from INGV and the Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program shows no confirmed VEI 2+ episode yet this year, supporting the market’s modest lean toward “No.” While Etna’s frequent paroxysmal episodes can escalate quickly, the current pattern of low-to-moderate explosivity and the passage of half the year without a qualifying event keep trader consensus slightly favoring absence of a VEI 2+ eruption through December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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