Trader consensus prices USA as narrow Group D favorites at 40.5% implied probability over Türkiye at 36%, driven by co-host home advantage across LA and Seattle fixtures despite USMNT's shaky March friendlies—5-2 loss to Belgium and 2-0 defeat to Portugal—exposing defensive vulnerabilities and Christian Pulisic's goal drought. Türkiye's playoff triumphs over Romania and Kosovo, paired with midfield maestros Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Arda Güler's expected recoveries from April strains, fuel their threat alongside attacking flair from Kenan Yıldız. Paraguay's eight-match unbeaten streak under Gustavo Alfaro and stingy qualifiers (10 goals conceded in 18) position them as live contenders at 17.5%, while Australia's March wins over Curacao (5-1) and Cameroon (1-0) offer upset potential despite defender Kye Miller's Achilles absence, keeping the group winner market tightly contested.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUSA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.7%
$43,348 ปริมาณ
$43,348 ปริมาณ
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
USA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.7%
$43,348 ปริมาณ
$43,348 ปริมาณ
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA as narrow Group D favorites at 40.5% implied probability over Türkiye at 36%, driven by co-host home advantage across LA and Seattle fixtures despite USMNT's shaky March friendlies—5-2 loss to Belgium and 2-0 defeat to Portugal—exposing defensive vulnerabilities and Christian Pulisic's goal drought. Türkiye's playoff triumphs over Romania and Kosovo, paired with midfield maestros Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Arda Güler's expected recoveries from April strains, fuel their threat alongside attacking flair from Kenan Yıldız. Paraguay's eight-match unbeaten streak under Gustavo Alfaro and stingy qualifiers (10 goals conceded in 18) position them as live contenders at 17.5%, while Australia's March wins over Curacao (5-1) and Cameroon (1-0) offer upset potential despite defender Kye Miller's Achilles absence, keeping the group winner market tightly contested.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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