Persistent divisions among French left-wing parties, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique plus internal Socialist Party splits over alliances, have driven trader consensus toward cancellation at 92%. The proposed October 11, 2026 primary, initiated in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin, draws only limited backing from L'Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s. Recent 2026 municipal election results highlighted these fractures, with competing strategies reducing prospects for unified nomination ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Cancellation could still be averted if the remaining organizers confirm full participation and resolve procedural disputes, though major-party exclusion narrows the event's viability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanceled 92.2%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,736 ปริมาณ
$202,736 ปริมาณ
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Canceled 92.2%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,736 ปริมาณ
$202,736 ปริมาณ
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
$67,262 ปริมาณ
92%
François Ruffin
$31,112 ปริมาณ
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,561 ปริมาณ
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,357 ปริมาณ
1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 ปริมาณ
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 ปริมาณ
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Persistent divisions among French left-wing parties, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique plus internal Socialist Party splits over alliances, have driven trader consensus toward cancellation at 92%. The proposed October 11, 2026 primary, initiated in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin, draws only limited backing from L'Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s. Recent 2026 municipal election results highlighted these fractures, with competing strategies reducing prospects for unified nomination ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Cancellation could still be averted if the remaining organizers confirm full participation and resolve procedural disputes, though major-party exclusion narrows the event's viability.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$202,736วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Persistent divisions among French left-wing parties, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique plus internal Socialist Party splits over alliances, have driven trader consensus toward cancellation at 92%. The proposed October 11, 2026 primary, initiated in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin, draws only limited backing from L'Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s. Recent 2026 municipal election results highlighted these fractures, with competing strategies reducing prospects for unified nomination ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Cancellation could still be averted if the remaining organizers confirm full participation and resolve procedural disputes, though major-party exclusion narrows the event's viability.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$202,736วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent divisions among French left-wing parties, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique plus internal Socialist Party splits over alliances, have driven trader consensus toward cancellation at 92%. The proposed October 11, 2026 primary, initiated in November 2025 by figures including Marine Tondelier and François Ruffin, draws only limited backing from L'Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s. Recent 2026 municipal election results highlighted these fractures, with competing strategies reducing prospects for unified nomination ahead of the 2027 presidential contest. Cancellation could still be averted if the remaining organizers confirm full participation and resolve procedural disputes, though major-party exclusion narrows the event's viability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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