Recent fractures within France's Socialist Party, including Boris Vallaud's May 8 split from leadership that drew support from roughly one-third of national officials, have heightened doubts about holding the planned October 2026 United Left primary. Major players such as La France Insoumise and Place Publique continue to reject participation, preferring independent candidacies ahead of the 2027 presidential election. These coalition tensions have driven trader consensus toward cancellation as the most probable outcome. Marine Tondelier maintains backing among ecologists and advocates for the primary alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, yet unresolved participation from the Socialists and Communists limits momentum for any single nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanceled 57%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 10%
Lydie Massard <1%
$51,595 ปริมาณ
$51,595 ปริมาณ
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
57%
Marine Tondelier
29%
François Ruffin
10%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Canceled 57%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 10%
Lydie Massard <1%
$51,595 ปริมาณ
$51,595 ปริมาณ
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
$8,298 ปริมาณ
57%
Marine Tondelier
$26,582 ปริมาณ
29%
François Ruffin
$11,243 ปริมาณ
10%
Lydie Massard
$1,474 ปริมาณ
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$3,882 ปริมาณ
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent fractures within France's Socialist Party, including Boris Vallaud's May 8 split from leadership that drew support from roughly one-third of national officials, have heightened doubts about holding the planned October 2026 United Left primary. Major players such as La France Insoumise and Place Publique continue to reject participation, preferring independent candidacies ahead of the 2027 presidential election. These coalition tensions have driven trader consensus toward cancellation as the most probable outcome. Marine Tondelier maintains backing among ecologists and advocates for the primary alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, yet unresolved participation from the Socialists and Communists limits momentum for any single nominee.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,595วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent fractures within France's Socialist Party, including Boris Vallaud's May 8 split from leadership that drew support from roughly one-third of national officials, have heightened doubts about holding the planned October 2026 United Left primary. Major players such as La France Insoumise and Place Publique continue to reject participation, preferring independent candidacies ahead of the 2027 presidential election. These coalition tensions have driven trader consensus toward cancellation as the most probable outcome. Marine Tondelier maintains backing among ecologists and advocates for the primary alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, yet unresolved participation from the Socialists and Communists limits momentum for any single nominee.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,595วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent fractures within France's Socialist Party, including Boris Vallaud's May 8 split from leadership that drew support from roughly one-third of national officials, have heightened doubts about holding the planned October 2026 United Left primary. Major players such as La France Insoumise and Place Publique continue to reject participation, preferring independent candidacies ahead of the 2027 presidential election. These coalition tensions have driven trader consensus toward cancellation as the most probable outcome. Marine Tondelier maintains backing among ecologists and advocates for the primary alongside François Ruffin and Clémentine Autain, yet unresolved participation from the Socialists and Communists limits momentum for any single nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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