The 96.5% market-implied probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission via aerosolized excreta, with only the Andes strain enabling limited human-to-human spread that requires prolonged close contact in enclosed settings. A May 2026 cruise-ship cluster of Andes virus cases prompted contact tracing and repatriation, yet WHO, CDC, and ECDC assessments consistently rate global risk as very low due to inefficient sustained transmission and no detected mutations enhancing contagiousness. Historical U.S. and regional case data show sporadic, non-pandemic patterns, and current surveillance through August 2026 shows no escalation. Realistic shifts remain possible only if genomic changes enable efficient airborne spread or if undetected community transmission emerges in high-density areas before year-end monitoring updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4% โอกาส
$17,871,726 ปริมาณ
$17,871,726 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
4% โอกาส
$17,871,726 ปริมาณ
$17,871,726 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 96.5% market-implied probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission via aerosolized excreta, with only the Andes strain enabling limited human-to-human spread that requires prolonged close contact in enclosed settings. A May 2026 cruise-ship cluster of Andes virus cases prompted contact tracing and repatriation, yet WHO, CDC, and ECDC assessments consistently rate global risk as very low due to inefficient sustained transmission and no detected mutations enhancing contagiousness. Historical U.S. and regional case data show sporadic, non-pandemic patterns, and current surveillance through August 2026 shows no escalation. Realistic shifts remain possible only if genomic changes enable efficient airborne spread or if undetected community transmission emerges in high-density areas before year-end monitoring updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,871,726วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 96.5% market-implied probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission via aerosolized excreta, with only the Andes strain enabling limited human-to-human spread that requires prolonged close contact in enclosed settings. A May 2026 cruise-ship cluster of Andes virus cases prompted contact tracing and repatriation, yet WHO, CDC, and ECDC assessments consistently rate global risk as very low due to inefficient sustained transmission and no detected mutations enhancing contagiousness. Historical U.S. and regional case data show sporadic, non-pandemic patterns, and current surveillance through August 2026 shows no escalation. Realistic shifts remain possible only if genomic changes enable efficient airborne spread or if undetected community transmission emerges in high-density areas before year-end monitoring updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,871,726วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 96.5% market-implied probability of no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the virus’s primary rodent-borne zoonotic transmission via aerosolized excreta, with only the Andes strain enabling limited human-to-human spread that requires prolonged close contact in enclosed settings. A May 2026 cruise-ship cluster of Andes virus cases prompted contact tracing and repatriation, yet WHO, CDC, and ECDC assessments consistently rate global risk as very low due to inefficient sustained transmission and no detected mutations enhancing contagiousness. Historical U.S. and regional case data show sporadic, non-pandemic patterns, and current surveillance through August 2026 shows no escalation. Realistic shifts remain possible only if genomic changes enable efficient airborne spread or if undetected community transmission emerges in high-density areas before year-end monitoring updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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