**Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% stems from his sustained 56% approval rating, bolstered by broad respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state where Democrats have dominated gubernatorial races since Republican Linda Lingle's tenure ended in 2010.** With candidate filing open until June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election, no high-profile Republican challengers have emerged to date, reinforcing Hawaii's partisan history favoring incumbents and Democratic nominees. While odds imply low upset risk, scenarios like a major scandal, Green's health issues, or a strong GOP recruit post-deadline could shift probabilities, though historical base rates favor the frontrunner in this safe Democratic hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHawaii Governor Election Winner
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
91%
Republican
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$2,851 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican
$4,019 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% stems from his sustained 56% approval rating, bolstered by broad respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state where Democrats have dominated gubernatorial races since Republican Linda Lingle's tenure ended in 2010.** With candidate filing open until June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election, no high-profile Republican challengers have emerged to date, reinforcing Hawaii's partisan history favoring incumbents and Democratic nominees. While odds imply low upset risk, scenarios like a major scandal, Green's health issues, or a strong GOP recruit post-deadline could shift probabilities, though historical base rates favor the frontrunner in this safe Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,871วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% stems from his sustained 56% approval rating, bolstered by broad respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state where Democrats have dominated gubernatorial races since Republican Linda Lingle's tenure ended in 2010.** With candidate filing open until June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election, no high-profile Republican challengers have emerged to date, reinforcing Hawaii's partisan history favoring incumbents and Democratic nominees. While odds imply low upset risk, scenarios like a major scandal, Green's health issues, or a strong GOP recruit post-deadline could shift probabilities, though historical base rates favor the frontrunner in this safe Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,871วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% stems from his sustained 56% approval rating, bolstered by broad respect for his handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires, in a state where Democrats have dominated gubernatorial races since Republican Linda Lingle's tenure ended in 2010.** With candidate filing open until June 2 ahead of the August 8 primaries and November 3 general election, no high-profile Republican challengers have emerged to date, reinforcing Hawaii's partisan history favoring incumbents and Democratic nominees. While odds imply low upset risk, scenarios like a major scandal, Green's health issues, or a strong GOP recruit post-deadline could shift probabilities, though historical base rates favor the frontrunner in this safe Democratic hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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