**Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping San Francisco's June 28 high tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s.** Official forecasts and recent model guidance indicate a deepened marine layer (around 2,000–2,500 ft) with patchy fog and drizzle potential, limiting afternoon warming under typical June "gloom" conditions. This setup favors a maximum near 68–71°F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market's two leading bins (22.5% and 21.5%). Differentiation among the close outcomes hinges on small variations in marine-layer depth, wind direction, and fog clearance timing: stronger or more persistent onshore flow and later burn-off cap highs near 68–69°F, while modest compression or brief clearing allows brief warming into the low 70s. No strong upper-level ridge or offshore flow is expected to push temperatures significantly higher, keeping 74°F+ outcomes at lower implied probability. Historical June averages near 67°F and current coastal water temperatures reinforce the cool bias. Traders are weighting the latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, which show limited day-to-day spread for this specific date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 28?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 28?
72-73°F 56%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 9%
76-77°F 4.5%
$34,881 ปริมาณ
$34,881 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
56%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 56%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 9%
76-77°F 4.5%
$34,881 ปริมาณ
$34,881 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
61°F or below
$1,856 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$4,827 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$1,503 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$1,108 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$2,727 ปริมาณ
3%
70-71°F
$4,101 ปริมาณ
22%
72-73°F
$7,324 ปริมาณ
56%
74-75°F
$3,897 ปริมาณ
9%
76-77°F
$3,507 ปริมาณ
4%
78-79°F
$2,644 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$1,389 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping San Francisco's June 28 high tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s.**
Official forecasts and recent model guidance indicate a deepened marine layer (around 2,000–2,500 ft) with patchy fog and drizzle potential, limiting afternoon warming under typical June "gloom" conditions. This setup favors a maximum near 68–71°F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market's two leading bins (22.5% and 21.5%).
Differentiation among the close outcomes hinges on small variations in marine-layer depth, wind direction, and fog clearance timing: stronger or more persistent onshore flow and later burn-off cap highs near 68–69°F, while modest compression or brief clearing allows brief warming into the low 70s. No strong upper-level ridge or offshore flow is expected to push temperatures significantly higher, keeping 74°F+ outcomes at lower implied probability. Historical June averages near 67°F and current coastal water temperatures reinforce the cool bias. Traders are weighting the latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, which show limited day-to-day spread for this specific date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,881วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping San Francisco's June 28 high tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s.**
Official forecasts and recent model guidance indicate a deepened marine layer (around 2,000–2,500 ft) with patchy fog and drizzle potential, limiting afternoon warming under typical June "gloom" conditions. This setup favors a maximum near 68–71°F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market's two leading bins (22.5% and 21.5%).
Differentiation among the close outcomes hinges on small variations in marine-layer depth, wind direction, and fog clearance timing: stronger or more persistent onshore flow and later burn-off cap highs near 68–69°F, while modest compression or brief clearing allows brief warming into the low 70s. No strong upper-level ridge or offshore flow is expected to push temperatures significantly higher, keeping 74°F+ outcomes at lower implied probability. Historical June averages near 67°F and current coastal water temperatures reinforce the cool bias. Traders are weighting the latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, which show limited day-to-day spread for this specific date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,881วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping San Francisco's June 28 high tightly clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s.** Official forecasts and recent model guidance indicate a deepened marine layer (around 2,000–2,500 ft) with patchy fog and drizzle potential, limiting afternoon warming under typical June "gloom" conditions. This setup favors a maximum near 68–71°F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market's two leading bins (22.5% and 21.5%). Differentiation among the close outcomes hinges on small variations in marine-layer depth, wind direction, and fog clearance timing: stronger or more persistent onshore flow and later burn-off cap highs near 68–69°F, while modest compression or brief clearing allows brief warming into the low 70s. No strong upper-level ridge or offshore flow is expected to push temperatures significantly higher, keeping 74°F+ outcomes at lower implied probability. Historical June averages near 67°F and current coastal water temperatures reinforce the cool bias. Traders are weighting the latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, which show limited day-to-day spread for this specific date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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