Strong El Niño conditions have driven record wind shear across the Atlantic basin, suppressing intensification and yielding zero hurricanes through mid-September despite five short-lived tropical storms. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal forecast of 2–6 hurricanes for the full June–November season, consistent with the basin’s accumulated cyclone energy at just 7% of average. This scientific backdrop positions 0–3 hurricanes as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders assigning only slim odds to four or more given the persistent hostile environment and the historical rarity of entirely hurricane-free seasons. Late-season model runs and any weakening of the El Niño will be key variables to watch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
1-3 62%
0 37%
4-6 4.0%
7+ <1%
$31,373 ปริมาณ
$31,373 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
0
37%
1-3
62%
4-6
4%
7+
<1%
1-3 62%
0 37%
4-6 4.0%
7+ <1%
$31,373 ปริมาณ
$31,373 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
0
$17,015 ปริมาณ
37%
1-3
$5,372 ปริมาณ
62%
4-6
$6,762 ปริมาณ
4%
7+
$2,224 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Strong El Niño conditions have driven record wind shear across the Atlantic basin, suppressing intensification and yielding zero hurricanes through mid-September despite five short-lived tropical storms. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal forecast of 2–6 hurricanes for the full June–November season, consistent with the basin’s accumulated cyclone energy at just 7% of average. This scientific backdrop positions 0–3 hurricanes as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders assigning only slim odds to four or more given the persistent hostile environment and the historical rarity of entirely hurricane-free seasons. Late-season model runs and any weakening of the El Niño will be key variables to watch.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,373วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Strong El Niño conditions have driven record wind shear across the Atlantic basin, suppressing intensification and yielding zero hurricanes through mid-September despite five short-lived tropical storms. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal forecast of 2–6 hurricanes for the full June–November season, consistent with the basin’s accumulated cyclone energy at just 7% of average. This scientific backdrop positions 0–3 hurricanes as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders assigning only slim odds to four or more given the persistent hostile environment and the historical rarity of entirely hurricane-free seasons. Late-season model runs and any weakening of the El Niño will be key variables to watch.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,373วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strong El Niño conditions have driven record wind shear across the Atlantic basin, suppressing intensification and yielding zero hurricanes through mid-September despite five short-lived tropical storms. NOAA’s August outlook maintains a below-normal forecast of 2–6 hurricanes for the full June–November season, consistent with the basin’s accumulated cyclone energy at just 7% of average. This scientific backdrop positions 0–3 hurricanes as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders assigning only slim odds to four or more given the persistent hostile environment and the historical rarity of entirely hurricane-free seasons. Late-season model runs and any weakening of the El Niño will be key variables to watch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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