Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey prevailed in a competitive Republican field. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois's Democratic tilt and the incumbent's prior margin exceeding 12 points. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race. Potential challenges to this outcome could include significant late developments such as economic disruptions, candidate health issues, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by national factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Governor Election Winner

Democrat
96%

Republican
6%

Democrat
96%

Republican
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Bailey prevailed in a competitive Republican field. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois's Democratic tilt and the incumbent's prior margin exceeding 12 points. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race. Potential challenges to this outcome could include significant late developments such as economic disruptions, candidate health issues, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by national factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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