India's April 2026 consumer price index rose to 3.48% year-over-year from 3.40% in March, marking the sixth consecutive monthly increase and keeping headline inflation firmly within the Reserve Bank of India's 2-6% tolerance band around its 4% target. Food inflation climbed to 4.20%, while wholesale price inflation surged to an 8.3% three-and-a-half-year high driven by energy costs tied to Middle East supply risks, even as the government absorbed much of the retail fuel shock. These developments, alongside expectations for further hardening to around 4.1% in May and broader 2026 forecasts near 4.0-4.7%, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 81.5% market-implied probability for annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Key upcoming catalysts include monsoon performance and potential fuel repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIndia Annual Inflation 2026
4.50%+ 82%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.2%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
$60,622 ปริมาณ
$60,622 ปริมาณ
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
10%
4.50%+
82%
4.50%+ 82%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.2%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
$60,622 ปริมาณ
$60,622 ปริมาณ
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
10%
4.50%+
82%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's April 2026 consumer price index rose to 3.48% year-over-year from 3.40% in March, marking the sixth consecutive monthly increase and keeping headline inflation firmly within the Reserve Bank of India's 2-6% tolerance band around its 4% target. Food inflation climbed to 4.20%, while wholesale price inflation surged to an 8.3% three-and-a-half-year high driven by energy costs tied to Middle East supply risks, even as the government absorbed much of the retail fuel shock. These developments, alongside expectations for further hardening to around 4.1% in May and broader 2026 forecasts near 4.0-4.7%, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 81.5% market-implied probability for annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Key upcoming catalysts include monsoon performance and potential fuel repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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