Jack Doherty’s entry into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program following his November 2025 arrest on amphetamine possession and resisting-arrest charges has driven trader consensus toward a 90.6% implied probability of no prison time. Prosecutors dropped the marijuana count, and successful completion of the program typically results in dismissal without conviction or incarceration, with recent court filings confirming his acceptance. A separate civil assault lawsuit from an earlier livestream incident remains pending but carries no direct criminal penalties. An upset could still occur if Doherty violates diversion terms, faces new charges, or encounters unexpected judicial developments before program completion.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJack Doherty Prison Time?
No Prison Time 90.4%
<2 Years 6.7%
5+ Years 2.6%
2-5 Years <1%
$22,717 ปริมาณ
$22,717 ปริมาณ
No Prison Time
90%
<2 Years
7%
2-5 Years
1%
5+ Years
3%
No Prison Time 90.4%
<2 Years 6.7%
5+ Years 2.6%
2-5 Years <1%
$22,717 ปริมาณ
$22,717 ปริมาณ
No Prison Time
90%
<2 Years
7%
2-5 Years
1%
5+ Years
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty’s entry into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program following his November 2025 arrest on amphetamine possession and resisting-arrest charges has driven trader consensus toward a 90.6% implied probability of no prison time. Prosecutors dropped the marijuana count, and successful completion of the program typically results in dismissal without conviction or incarceration, with recent court filings confirming his acceptance. A separate civil assault lawsuit from an earlier livestream incident remains pending but carries no direct criminal penalties. An upset could still occur if Doherty violates diversion terms, faces new charges, or encounters unexpected judicial developments before program completion.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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