Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on a felony controlled-substance charge, plus misdemeanor marijuana and resisting-arrest counts tied to a traffic-stunt video, initially raised the specter of multi-year prison exposure. Traders have since priced No Prison Time at 87.9 percent because the case appears headed toward a deferred-prosecution agreement or plea that avoids incarceration, consistent with typical first-offense handling for non-violent influencer cases. The January 2026 court absence and absence of further public escalations through mid-2026 have reinforced this consensus, while the October 2026 resolution deadline leaves little room for late surprises that could shift odds toward even the modest 3-5 percent probabilities on shorter sentences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJack Doherty Prison Time?
Jack Doherty Prison Time?
No Prison Time 88.7%
2-5 Years 4.5%
<2 Years 4.0%
5+ Years 3.2%
$22,498 ปริมาณ
$22,498 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
No Prison Time
89%
<2 Years
4%
2-5 Years
5%
5+ Years
3%
No Prison Time 88.7%
2-5 Years 4.5%
<2 Years 4.0%
5+ Years 3.2%
$22,498 ปริมาณ
$22,498 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
No Prison Time
$13,288 ปริมาณ
89%
<2 Years
$3,318 ปริมาณ
4%
2-5 Years
$2,416 ปริมาณ
5%
5+ Years
$3,476 ปริมาณ
3%
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on a felony controlled-substance charge, plus misdemeanor marijuana and resisting-arrest counts tied to a traffic-stunt video, initially raised the specter of multi-year prison exposure. Traders have since priced No Prison Time at 87.9 percent because the case appears headed toward a deferred-prosecution agreement or plea that avoids incarceration, consistent with typical first-offense handling for non-violent influencer cases. The January 2026 court absence and absence of further public escalations through mid-2026 have reinforced this consensus, while the October 2026 resolution deadline leaves little room for late surprises that could shift odds toward even the modest 3-5 percent probabilities on shorter sentences.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,498วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on a felony controlled-substance charge, plus misdemeanor marijuana and resisting-arrest counts tied to a traffic-stunt video, initially raised the specter of multi-year prison exposure. Traders have since priced No Prison Time at 87.9 percent because the case appears headed toward a deferred-prosecution agreement or plea that avoids incarceration, consistent with typical first-offense handling for non-violent influencer cases. The January 2026 court absence and absence of further public escalations through mid-2026 have reinforced this consensus, while the October 2026 resolution deadline leaves little room for late surprises that could shift odds toward even the modest 3-5 percent probabilities on shorter sentences.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,498วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty's November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on a felony controlled-substance charge, plus misdemeanor marijuana and resisting-arrest counts tied to a traffic-stunt video, initially raised the specter of multi-year prison exposure. Traders have since priced No Prison Time at 87.9 percent because the case appears headed toward a deferred-prosecution agreement or plea that avoids incarceration, consistent with typical first-offense handling for non-violent influencer cases. The January 2026 court absence and absence of further public escalations through mid-2026 have reinforced this consensus, while the October 2026 resolution deadline leaves little room for late surprises that could shift odds toward even the modest 3-5 percent probabilities on shorter sentences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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