President Lee Jae-myung continues to serve his single five-year term, which runs through 2030 following his 2025 inauguration, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or constitutional triggers for early removal in 2026. Recent parliamentary audits have highlighted disputes over judicial independence, DMZ security incidents, and housing costs, contributing to approval ratings falling to the mid-30s in October 2026 polls. Lee has publicly ruled out seeking reelection and framed ongoing prosecution and institutional reforms as irreversible priorities, while opposition parties have gained some ground in party support metrics without mounting a credible challenge to his tenure. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.2% “No” probability aligns with the structural barriers to ouster and the lack of acute political crises capable of altering the timeline before year-end.