Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support. The right-wing party, led by Rupert Lowe, trails Labour and Reform UK in surveys of the Greater Manchester constituency. Rivalry between Restore Britain and Reform UK over the right-wing vote has featured in campaign exchanges, yet available data shows no upward momentum sufficient to reach double digits. Traders assess the short timeline to polling day and the absence of late shifts as key factors in the current implied probability favoring a sub-10% result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
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Jun 18, 2026
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Jun 18, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support. The right-wing party, led by Rupert Lowe, trails Labour and Reform UK in surveys of the Greater Manchester constituency. Rivalry between Restore Britain and Reform UK over the right-wing vote has featured in campaign exchanges, yet available data shows no upward momentum sufficient to reach double digits. Traders assess the short timeline to polling day and the absence of late shifts as key factors in the current implied probability favoring a sub-10% result.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,566วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support. The right-wing party, led by Rupert Lowe, trails Labour and Reform UK in surveys of the Greater Manchester constituency. Rivalry between Restore Britain and Reform UK over the right-wing vote has featured in campaign exchanges, yet available data shows no upward momentum sufficient to reach double digits. Traders assess the short timeline to polling day and the absence of late shifts as key factors in the current implied probability favoring a sub-10% result.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,566วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Survation polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, contesting its first Westminster seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support. The right-wing party, led by Rupert Lowe, trails Labour and Reform UK in surveys of the Greater Manchester constituency. Rivalry between Restore Britain and Reform UK over the right-wing vote has featured in campaign exchanges, yet available data shows no upward momentum sufficient to reach double digits. Traders assess the short timeline to polling day and the absence of late shifts as key factors in the current implied probability favoring a sub-10% result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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