Michigan's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits barred incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer from seeking a third term. Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and holds a consistent lead in general-election polling averages. Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative, won his primary but carries prior unsuccessful statewide bids. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 84 percent implied probability, reflecting Michigan's recent statewide voting patterns, Benson's broad name recognition, and the narrower path available to Republicans in this environment. Fall debates and additional polling through November 3 remain potential catalysts for movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Governor Election Winner
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$196,710 ปริมาณ
$196,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
84%
Republican
15%
Independent
1%
Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$196,710 ปริมาณ
$196,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$45,840 ปริมาณ
84%
Republican
$150,254 ปริมาณ
15%
Independent
$616 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits barred incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer from seeking a third term. Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and holds a consistent lead in general-election polling averages. Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative, won his primary but carries prior unsuccessful statewide bids. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 84 percent implied probability, reflecting Michigan's recent statewide voting patterns, Benson's broad name recognition, and the narrower path available to Republicans in this environment. Fall debates and additional polling through November 3 remain potential catalysts for movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits barred incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer from seeking a third term. Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and holds a consistent lead in general-election polling averages. Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative, won his primary but carries prior unsuccessful statewide bids. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 84 percent implied probability, reflecting Michigan's recent statewide voting patterns, Benson's broad name recognition, and the narrower path available to Republicans in this environment. Fall debates and additional polling through November 3 remain potential catalysts for movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after term limits barred incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer from seeking a third term. Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with over 83 percent of the vote and holds a consistent lead in general-election polling averages. Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative, won his primary but carries prior unsuccessful statewide bids. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 84 percent implied probability, reflecting Michigan's recent statewide voting patterns, Benson's broad name recognition, and the narrower path available to Republicans in this environment. Fall debates and additional polling through November 3 remain potential catalysts for movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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