A recent Detroit Regional Chamber poll released this week shows Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with her support consolidating to around 36% in three-way matchups against Republican Congressman John James at 31% and independent former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan at 20%, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This shift from earlier dead heats reflects Benson's rising favorability and Duggan's slipping momentum, amid Michigan's battleground status where Democrats have held the governorship despite Trump's 2024 presidential win. Competitive primaries on August 4—featuring GOP contenders like James and Perry Johnson—could alter dynamics, but current polling averages sustain the Democratic edge over Republican (16.5%) and Independent (13.5%) outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Governor Election Winner
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 70%
Republican 17%
Independent 14%
$180,991 ปริมาณ
$180,991 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
70%
Republican
17%
Independent
14%
Democrat 70%
Republican 17%
Independent 14%
$180,991 ปริมาณ
$180,991 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$39,809 ปริมาณ
70%
Republican
$141,111 ปริมาณ
17%
Independent
$71 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.A recent Detroit Regional Chamber poll released this week shows Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with her support consolidating to around 36% in three-way matchups against Republican Congressman John James at 31% and independent former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan at 20%, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This shift from earlier dead heats reflects Benson's rising favorability and Duggan's slipping momentum, amid Michigan's battleground status where Democrats have held the governorship despite Trump's 2024 presidential win. Competitive primaries on August 4—featuring GOP contenders like James and Perry Johnson—could alter dynamics, but current polling averages sustain the Democratic edge over Republican (16.5%) and Independent (13.5%) outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$180,991วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.A recent Detroit Regional Chamber poll released this week shows Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with her support consolidating to around 36% in three-way matchups against Republican Congressman John James at 31% and independent former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan at 20%, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This shift from earlier dead heats reflects Benson's rising favorability and Duggan's slipping momentum, amid Michigan's battleground status where Democrats have held the governorship despite Trump's 2024 presidential win. Competitive primaries on August 4—featuring GOP contenders like James and Perry Johnson—could alter dynamics, but current polling averages sustain the Democratic edge over Republican (16.5%) and Independent (13.5%) outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$180,991วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A recent Detroit Regional Chamber poll released this week shows Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with her support consolidating to around 36% in three-way matchups against Republican Congressman John James at 31% and independent former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan at 20%, driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability for a Democratic winner. This shift from earlier dead heats reflects Benson's rising favorability and Duggan's slipping momentum, amid Michigan's battleground status where Democrats have held the governorship despite Trump's 2024 presidential win. Competitive primaries on August 4—featuring GOP contenders like James and Perry Johnson—could alter dynamics, but current polling averages sustain the Democratic edge over Republican (16.5%) and Independent (13.5%) outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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