Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured her party's nomination with a decisive primary win on August 4, 2026, while Republican U.S. Representative John James prevailed in a competitive GOP primary the same day, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over James in the open-seat race, consistent with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests and the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a state with a term-limited incumbent. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a Democratic victory, though the roughly three-month campaign window leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, economic conditions, or late developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Governor Election Winner
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$196,710 ปริมาณ
$196,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
84%
Republican
15%
Independent
1%
Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 1.4%
$196,710 ปริมาณ
$196,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$45,840 ปริมาณ
84%
Republican
$150,254 ปริมาณ
15%
Independent
$616 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured her party's nomination with a decisive primary win on August 4, 2026, while Republican U.S. Representative John James prevailed in a competitive GOP primary the same day, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over James in the open-seat race, consistent with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests and the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a state with a term-limited incumbent. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a Democratic victory, though the roughly three-month campaign window leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, economic conditions, or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured her party's nomination with a decisive primary win on August 4, 2026, while Republican U.S. Representative John James prevailed in a competitive GOP primary the same day, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over James in the open-seat race, consistent with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests and the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a state with a term-limited incumbent. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a Democratic victory, though the roughly three-month campaign window leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, economic conditions, or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured her party's nomination with a decisive primary win on August 4, 2026, while Republican U.S. Representative John James prevailed in a competitive GOP primary the same day, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over James in the open-seat race, consistent with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests and the structural advantages of the Democratic nominee in a state with a term-limited incumbent. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability for a Democratic victory, though the roughly three-month campaign window leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, economic conditions, or late developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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