Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election has opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary led by Abdul El-Sayed's recent surge to 28% in a May 1-7 Mitchell Research poll over Rep. Haley Stevens (18%) and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (17%), while ex-Rep. Mike Rogers dominates the GOP field. General election hypotheticals remain tight, with RCP averages showing Rogers edging El-Sayed (+3.5%) and McMorrow (+1.6%) but trailing Stevens slightly (-0.6%), per late April Glengariff data. Trader consensus at 73% for Democrat reflects perceived Democratic strength after their May 5 special state Senate win in a battleground district, despite polling toss-ups and August 4 primaries ahead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$111,683 ปริมาณ
$111,683 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
73%
Republican
27%
$111,683 ปริมาณ
$111,683 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$80,694 ปริมาณ
73%
Republican
$30,989 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election has opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary led by Abdul El-Sayed's recent surge to 28% in a May 1-7 Mitchell Research poll over Rep. Haley Stevens (18%) and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (17%), while ex-Rep. Mike Rogers dominates the GOP field. General election hypotheticals remain tight, with RCP averages showing Rogers edging El-Sayed (+3.5%) and McMorrow (+1.6%) but trailing Stevens slightly (-0.6%), per late April Glengariff data. Trader consensus at 73% for Democrat reflects perceived Democratic strength after their May 5 special state Senate win in a battleground district, despite polling toss-ups and August 4 primaries ahead.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,683วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election has opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary led by Abdul El-Sayed's recent surge to 28% in a May 1-7 Mitchell Research poll over Rep. Haley Stevens (18%) and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (17%), while ex-Rep. Mike Rogers dominates the GOP field. General election hypotheticals remain tight, with RCP averages showing Rogers edging El-Sayed (+3.5%) and McMorrow (+1.6%) but trailing Stevens slightly (-0.6%), per late April Glengariff data. Trader consensus at 73% for Democrat reflects perceived Democratic strength after their May 5 special state Senate win in a battleground district, despite polling toss-ups and August 4 primaries ahead.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,683วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election has opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary led by Abdul El-Sayed's recent surge to 28% in a May 1-7 Mitchell Research poll over Rep. Haley Stevens (18%) and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (17%), while ex-Rep. Mike Rogers dominates the GOP field. General election hypotheticals remain tight, with RCP averages showing Rogers edging El-Sayed (+3.5%) and McMorrow (+1.6%) but trailing Stevens slightly (-0.6%), per late April Glengariff data. Trader consensus at 73% for Democrat reflects perceived Democratic strength after their May 5 special state Senate win in a battleground district, despite polling toss-ups and August 4 primaries ahead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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