Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after an expensive contest marked by heavy outside spending. Recent September polls, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson surveys, show El-Sayed holding a slim 2- to 3-point lead over former Rep. Mike Rogers among likely voters, with aggregates placing the Democrat around 47% to Rogers’ 45%. This edge stems from stronger performance among college-educated and younger voters, combined with Rogers’ limited gains despite a spending advantage from aligned groups. The open seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state Trump carried in 2024, yet traders’ consensus assigns El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on these polling trends and early general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$867,496 ปริมาณ
$867,496 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
68%
Mike Rogers (R)
34%
$867,496 ปริมาณ
$867,496 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$491,514 ปริมาณ
68%
Mike Rogers (R)
$375,982 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after an expensive contest marked by heavy outside spending. Recent September polls, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson surveys, show El-Sayed holding a slim 2- to 3-point lead over former Rep. Mike Rogers among likely voters, with aggregates placing the Democrat around 47% to Rogers’ 45%. This edge stems from stronger performance among college-educated and younger voters, combined with Rogers’ limited gains despite a spending advantage from aligned groups. The open seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state Trump carried in 2024, yet traders’ consensus assigns El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on these polling trends and early general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$867,496วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after an expensive contest marked by heavy outside spending. Recent September polls, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson surveys, show El-Sayed holding a slim 2- to 3-point lead over former Rep. Mike Rogers among likely voters, with aggregates placing the Democrat around 47% to Rogers’ 45%. This edge stems from stronger performance among college-educated and younger voters, combined with Rogers’ limited gains despite a spending advantage from aligned groups. The open seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state Trump carried in 2024, yet traders’ consensus assigns El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on these polling trends and early general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$867,496วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens after an expensive contest marked by heavy outside spending. Recent September polls, including Washington Post-Schar School and Emerson surveys, show El-Sayed holding a slim 2- to 3-point lead over former Rep. Mike Rogers among likely voters, with aggregates placing the Democrat around 47% to Rogers’ 45%. This edge stems from stronger performance among college-educated and younger voters, combined with Rogers’ limited gains despite a spending advantage from aligned groups. The open seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state Trump carried in 2024, yet traders’ consensus assigns El-Sayed the higher implied probability based on these polling trends and early general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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