Yordan Alvarez's return from a 2025 season limited to 48 games by hand and ankle injuries underpins the 96.6% implied probability in this AL Comeback Player of the Year market. The Astros DH posted career highs with a league-leading .316 batting average, .432 OBP, .601 SLG, 42 home runs, and 106 RBIs across 158 games while topping MLB in walks and OPS. He already captured the Players Choice version of the award, reflecting peer recognition of his offensive WAR leadership and historic combination of batting title and 40-home-run power. Other candidates trail far behind due to less dramatic rebounds or fewer standout counting stats. The official BBWAA vote could still shift if late narrative emphasis favors different narratives, though Alvarez's dominance across advanced metrics makes that outcome improbable.