Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge top the early 2026 home run leaderboard with closely matched totals, driving the tight trader consensus around their implied probabilities. Schwarber has paced the league with 20 long balls through mid-May, fueled by strong plate discipline and frequent opportunities in the Phillies lineup. Judge sits just behind at 16, leveraging his elite exit velocities and consistent production in a Yankees offense that creates scoring chances. Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson trail further back, while factors like schedule strength, injury recovery timelines, and hot streaks among power hitters such as Yordan Alvarez keep the race fluid. This bunched positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable power profiles and recent form in a season still far from the finish.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKyle Schwarber 37%
Aaron Judge 36%
Munetaka Murakami 11%
Matt Olson 7.8%
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Aaron Judge
36%
Munetaka Murakami
11%
Matt Olson
8%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 37%
Aaron Judge 36%
Munetaka Murakami 11%
Matt Olson 7.8%
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Aaron Judge
36%
Munetaka Murakami
11%
Matt Olson
8%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge top the early 2026 home run leaderboard with closely matched totals, driving the tight trader consensus around their implied probabilities. Schwarber has paced the league with 20 long balls through mid-May, fueled by strong plate discipline and frequent opportunities in the Phillies lineup. Judge sits just behind at 16, leveraging his elite exit velocities and consistent production in a Yankees offense that creates scoring chances. Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson trail further back, while factors like schedule strength, injury recovery timelines, and hot streaks among power hitters such as Yordan Alvarez keep the race fluid. This bunched positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable power profiles and recent form in a season still far from the finish.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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