Aaron Judge holds the top implied probability in the MLB home run leader market at 43 percent, driven by his established power profile and consistent production for the Yankees, though Kyle Schwarber’s torrid start with 20 home runs in the Phillies’ first 45 games has boosted him to 29.5 percent. Recent form shows Schwarber delivering nine homers over his last eight contests and becoming the first player to reach 20 this season, tightening the race in a tightly contested early leaderboard that also features Munetaka Murakami at 10.5 percent and Matt Olson at 7 percent. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for typical second-half adjustments, schedule strength, and injury resilience while acknowledging that power numbers remain unpredictable through the full campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAaron Judge 37%
Kyle Schwarber 30%
Munetaka Murakami 11%
Matt Olson 7.1%
Aaron Judge
37%
Kyle Schwarber
30%
Munetaka Murakami
11%
Matt Olson
7%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Manny Machado
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
Aaron Judge 37%
Kyle Schwarber 30%
Munetaka Murakami 11%
Matt Olson 7.1%
Aaron Judge
37%
Kyle Schwarber
30%
Munetaka Murakami
11%
Matt Olson
7%
Yordan Alvarez
6%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Manny Machado
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Ben Rice
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
George Springer
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge holds the top implied probability in the MLB home run leader market at 43 percent, driven by his established power profile and consistent production for the Yankees, though Kyle Schwarber’s torrid start with 20 home runs in the Phillies’ first 45 games has boosted him to 29.5 percent. Recent form shows Schwarber delivering nine homers over his last eight contests and becoming the first player to reach 20 this season, tightening the race in a tightly contested early leaderboard that also features Munetaka Murakami at 10.5 percent and Matt Olson at 7 percent. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for typical second-half adjustments, schedule strength, and injury resilience while acknowledging that power numbers remain unpredictable through the full campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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