Republican incumbent Steve Daines's March 2026 withdrawal and immediate endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme consolidated GOP support ahead of the June primaries in this solidly Republican-leaning state. Alme secured the nomination with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote and has maintained double-digit leads in recent general election surveys against Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Montana's voting patterns, unified Republican backing including from national party figures, and limited name recognition for challengers underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. An unusually strong independent performance or late-cycle shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though structural advantages make such scenarios improbable at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican 91%
Independent 9.4%
Democrat <1%
$109,616 ปริมาณ
$109,616 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Independent
9%
Democrat
<1%
Republican 91%
Independent 9.4%
Democrat <1%
$109,616 ปริมาณ
$109,616 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$55,848 ปริมาณ
91%
Independent
$14,047 ปริมาณ
9%
Democrat
$39,721 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Steve Daines's March 2026 withdrawal and immediate endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme consolidated GOP support ahead of the June primaries in this solidly Republican-leaning state. Alme secured the nomination with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote and has maintained double-digit leads in recent general election surveys against Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Montana's voting patterns, unified Republican backing including from national party figures, and limited name recognition for challengers underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. An unusually strong independent performance or late-cycle shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though structural advantages make such scenarios improbable at present.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$109,616วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Steve Daines's March 2026 withdrawal and immediate endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme consolidated GOP support ahead of the June primaries in this solidly Republican-leaning state. Alme secured the nomination with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote and has maintained double-digit leads in recent general election surveys against Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Montana's voting patterns, unified Republican backing including from national party figures, and limited name recognition for challengers underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. An unusually strong independent performance or late-cycle shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though structural advantages make such scenarios improbable at present.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$109,616วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Steve Daines's March 2026 withdrawal and immediate endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme consolidated GOP support ahead of the June primaries in this solidly Republican-leaning state. Alme secured the nomination with roughly three-quarters of the primary vote and has maintained double-digit leads in recent general election surveys against Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar. Montana's voting patterns, unified Republican backing including from national party figures, and limited name recognition for challengers underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. An unusually strong independent performance or late-cycle shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though structural advantages make such scenarios improbable at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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