The Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway features the high-variance dynamics typical of superspeedway pack racing, where drafting alliances, late-race strategy, and multi-car incidents routinely produce winners from deep in the field. Ross Chastain’s pole start alongside Chris Buescher, combined with Ryan Preece’s strong qualifying position, has elevated their implied probabilities, while new rules reducing horsepower and spoiler size aim to increase passing and reduce fuel-saving tactics. Playoff positioning adds urgency for drivers like Shane van Gisbergen, Austin Cindric, and Preece, yet the track’s history of upsets keeps consensus probabilities clustered near 50% for numerous contenders, including established names such as Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano. Recent strong form from Team Penske and Hendrick drivers provides some edge, but the overall tightness reflects Daytona’s inherent unpredictability.