No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNatural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
$218,685 ปริมาณ
$218,685 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$218,685 ปริมาณ
$218,685 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$218,685วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$218,685วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No at 74% reflects the absence of qualifying events through mid-May 2026, per USGS, Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program, and National Hurricane Center data. No magnitude 8.5+ earthquakes have occurred, with the strongest at M7.5 near Tonga in March and recent M7+ events in Japan and Indonesia producing limited impacts below resolution thresholds. No VEI ≥6 volcanic eruptions have been recorded, consistent with their decadal rarity, while the Atlantic hurricane season has yet to begin on June 1 with Colorado State University forecasting below-normal activity amid transitioning La Niña conditions. These factors sustain trader consensus, though upcoming NOAA outlooks and potential rapid intensification in peak season introduce remaining uncertainty for the year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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