Vivek Ramaswamy holds a commanding lead in the Ohio Republican primary for governor, with traders assigning overwhelming probability to a 60-70% margin of victory. This positioning stems from his strong Trump endorsement, broad name recognition from his 2024 presidential bid, and consistent double-digit polling advantages over limited challengers like Casey Putsch. Recent campaign momentum, including unified GOP support and effective fundraising, has reinforced expectations of a decisive primary win ahead of the November general election against Democrat Amy Acton. While the market consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment, an unexpectedly strong late surge by opponents or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOhio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%
Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
Ramaswamy 30-40% <1%
$66,264 ปริมาณ
$66,264 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
1%
Other
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%
Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
Ramaswamy 30-40% <1%
$66,264 ปริมาณ
$66,264 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
$4,024 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
$2,310 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
$2,770 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
$10,742 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
$13,477 ปริมาณ
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
$31,620 ปริมาณ
1%
Other
$1,321 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy holds a commanding lead in the Ohio Republican primary for governor, with traders assigning overwhelming probability to a 60-70% margin of victory. This positioning stems from his strong Trump endorsement, broad name recognition from his 2024 presidential bid, and consistent double-digit polling advantages over limited challengers like Casey Putsch. Recent campaign momentum, including unified GOP support and effective fundraising, has reinforced expectations of a decisive primary win ahead of the November general election against Democrat Amy Acton. While the market consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment, an unexpectedly strong late surge by opponents or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the final margin.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,264วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Vivek Ramaswamy holds a commanding lead in the Ohio Republican primary for governor, with traders assigning overwhelming probability to a 60-70% margin of victory. This positioning stems from his strong Trump endorsement, broad name recognition from his 2024 presidential bid, and consistent double-digit polling advantages over limited challengers like Casey Putsch. Recent campaign momentum, including unified GOP support and effective fundraising, has reinforced expectations of a decisive primary win ahead of the November general election against Democrat Amy Acton. While the market consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment, an unexpectedly strong late surge by opponents or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the final margin.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,264วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vivek Ramaswamy holds a commanding lead in the Ohio Republican primary for governor, with traders assigning overwhelming probability to a 60-70% margin of victory. This positioning stems from his strong Trump endorsement, broad name recognition from his 2024 presidential bid, and consistent double-digit polling advantages over limited challengers like Casey Putsch. Recent campaign momentum, including unified GOP support and effective fundraising, has reinforced expectations of a decisive primary win ahead of the November general election against Democrat Amy Acton. While the market consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment, an unexpectedly strong late surge by opponents or shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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