Recent cross-border attacks have strained the fragile truce between Pakistan and Afghanistan, originally agreed in March 2026 amid China-mediated peace talks in Urumqi that aimed to curb escalation and address TTP safe havens. On May 4, Afghanistan accused Pakistan of strikes in Kunar province that killed three civilians and wounded 14, destroying schools and mosques, while Pakistan cited Afghan firing that killed civilians in Bajaur. Earlier April 27 clashes in Asadabad reportedly killed four and wounded 70 per Taliban claims, labeled war crimes. Tensions persist over Pakistan's demands for Taliban action against TTP militants launching attacks like the recent Bannu suicide bombing, with no new diplomatic breakthroughs amid mutual sovereignty accusations along the Durand Line. Traders weigh de-escalation prospects against ongoing skirmishes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$149,492 ปริมาณ
June 30
13%
$149,492 ปริมาณ
June 30
13%
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent cross-border attacks have strained the fragile truce between Pakistan and Afghanistan, originally agreed in March 2026 amid China-mediated peace talks in Urumqi that aimed to curb escalation and address TTP safe havens. On May 4, Afghanistan accused Pakistan of strikes in Kunar province that killed three civilians and wounded 14, destroying schools and mosques, while Pakistan cited Afghan firing that killed civilians in Bajaur. Earlier April 27 clashes in Asadabad reportedly killed four and wounded 70 per Taliban claims, labeled war crimes. Tensions persist over Pakistan's demands for Taliban action against TTP militants launching attacks like the recent Bannu suicide bombing, with no new diplomatic breakthroughs amid mutual sovereignty accusations along the Durand Line. Traders weigh de-escalation prospects against ongoing skirmishes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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