The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally tight result, with official tallies at 95 percent counted showing Sánchez ahead by roughly 0.2 percentage points after Fujimori led early returns from urban and coastal areas. Rural and Andean ballots have since narrowed the gap further, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian elections where late-counted regions shift margins. Traders have priced the outcome in the narrowest 0.1-point brackets because full certification and any recounts could extend into July, leaving room for small adjustments that favor Fujimori in the consensus view. The race's polarization around crime and institutional stability has kept both candidates' support bases highly mobilized, limiting the scope for larger swings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 38%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 24%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 23%
Fujimori 0–0.1% 8%
ใหม่
$146,449 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$146,449 ปริมาณ
Fujimori 1%+
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
3%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
38%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
24%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
23%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
8%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
6%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
2%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
4%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
<1%
Other
<1%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 38%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 24%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 23%
Fujimori 0–0.1% 8%
ใหม่
$146,449 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$146,449 ปริมาณ
Fujimori 1%+
$5,465 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
$3,929 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
$3,400 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
$4,195 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
$4,139 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
$3,569 ปริมาณ
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
$6,017 ปริมาณ
3%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
$10,081 ปริมาณ
38%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
$7,414 ปริมาณ
24%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
$9,334 ปริมาณ
23%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
$19,947 ปริมาณ
8%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
$9,616 ปริมาณ
6%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
$7,404 ปริมาณ
2%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
$5,977 ปริมาณ
4%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
$5,082 ปริมาณ
1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
$5,559 ปริมาณ
1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
$4,817 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
$5,581 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
$8,519 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
$4,256 ปริมาณ
1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
$4,631 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
$4,525 ปริมาณ
<1%
Other
$3,978 ปริมาณ
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally tight result, with official tallies at 95 percent counted showing Sánchez ahead by roughly 0.2 percentage points after Fujimori led early returns from urban and coastal areas. Rural and Andean ballots have since narrowed the gap further, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian elections where late-counted regions shift margins. Traders have priced the outcome in the narrowest 0.1-point brackets because full certification and any recounts could extend into July, leaving room for small adjustments that favor Fujimori in the consensus view. The race's polarization around crime and institutional stability has kept both candidates' support bases highly mobilized, limiting the scope for larger swings.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146,449ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally tight result, with official tallies at 95 percent counted showing Sánchez ahead by roughly 0.2 percentage points after Fujimori led early returns from urban and coastal areas. Rural and Andean ballots have since narrowed the gap further, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian elections where late-counted regions shift margins. Traders have priced the outcome in the narrowest 0.1-point brackets because full certification and any recounts could extend into July, leaving room for small adjustments that favor Fujimori in the consensus view. The race's polarization around crime and institutional stability has kept both candidates' support bases highly mobilized, limiting the scope for larger swings.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146,449ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally tight result, with official tallies at 95 percent counted showing Sánchez ahead by roughly 0.2 percentage points after Fujimori led early returns from urban and coastal areas. Rural and Andean ballots have since narrowed the gap further, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian elections where late-counted regions shift margins. Traders have priced the outcome in the narrowest 0.1-point brackets because full certification and any recounts could extend into July, leaving room for small adjustments that favor Fujimori in the consensus view. The race's polarization around crime and institutional stability has kept both candidates' support bases highly mobilized, limiting the scope for larger swings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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