Hull City and Coventry City lead the Polymarket at 57% and 55% implied probability for relegation, followed by Crystal Palace at 41%, with Ipswich Town and Sunderland also in double digits. After ten matchweeks, the promoted trio sits in the lower half of the table, with Coventry on nine points and both Hull and Ipswich on 11. Crystal Palace occupies the bottom spot on seven points while Manchester United and Sunderland sit just above on eight. Early-season results show the promoted sides struggling for wins and goal difference, Manchester United with only one victory, and Palace conceding heavily. Traders are pricing the combination of limited squad depth, tough upcoming fixtures against top sides, and historical challenges for newly promoted clubs, while Manchester City’s elevated price reflects off-field uncertainty rather than on-pitch performance.