Buffalo Bills hold the strongest position in the AFC East title market after opening the 2026 season 3-1, fueled by their league-leading offense and Josh Allen's consistent production. A narrow Week 4 home loss to the Patriots dropped them from 3-0 but did little to alter trader views of their depth and schedule outlook. New England improved to 2-2 behind Drake Maye's three-touchdown effort in the upset win, providing tangible evidence of progress under Mike Vrabel and lifting their implied probability. The Jets and Dolphins remain mired at 1-3 and 0-4 with the league's weakest scoring outputs, leaving them with minimal realistic paths to the division crown.