Incumbent Republican Sen. Mike Rounds dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Senate seat, reflecting the state's entrenched Republican stronghold—last electing a Democrat in 2004—and his commanding lead in recent primary polls showing 66% support against challenger Justin McNeal's 18% as of early April. Rounds formally launched his re-election bid in January, bolstering fundraising and visibility ahead of the June 2 Republican primary. Democrat Julian Beaudion and independent Brian Bengs trail in a low-visibility general election field slated for November 3. While barriers to an upset remain high, a primary shock, major scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbency in safe seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Dakota Senate Election Winner
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$3,638 ปริมาณ
92%
Democrat
$2,080 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Mike Rounds dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Senate seat, reflecting the state's entrenched Republican stronghold—last electing a Democrat in 2004—and his commanding lead in recent primary polls showing 66% support against challenger Justin McNeal's 18% as of early April. Rounds formally launched his re-election bid in January, bolstering fundraising and visibility ahead of the June 2 Republican primary. Democrat Julian Beaudion and independent Brian Bengs trail in a low-visibility general election field slated for November 3. While barriers to an upset remain high, a primary shock, major scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbency in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,718วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Mike Rounds dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Senate seat, reflecting the state's entrenched Republican stronghold—last electing a Democrat in 2004—and his commanding lead in recent primary polls showing 66% support against challenger Justin McNeal's 18% as of early April. Rounds formally launched his re-election bid in January, bolstering fundraising and visibility ahead of the June 2 Republican primary. Democrat Julian Beaudion and independent Brian Bengs trail in a low-visibility general election field slated for November 3. While barriers to an upset remain high, a primary shock, major scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbency in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,718วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Mike Rounds dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Senate seat, reflecting the state's entrenched Republican stronghold—last electing a Democrat in 2004—and his commanding lead in recent primary polls showing 66% support against challenger Justin McNeal's 18% as of early April. Rounds formally launched his re-election bid in January, bolstering fundraising and visibility ahead of the June 2 Republican primary. Democrat Julian Beaudion and independent Brian Bengs trail in a low-visibility general election field slated for November 3. While barriers to an upset remain high, a primary shock, major scandal, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbency in safe seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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