Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,522วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,522วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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