Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour government absorbed crushing defeats in the May 7 local and devolved elections across England, Scotland, and Wales, hemorrhaging nearly 1,500 councillors while Reform UK surged with over 1,450 gains amid voter fury over immigration, economic stagnation, and policy U-turns. This backlash has amplified calls for a snap general election—building on January petitions exceeding one million signatures—and sparked Labour infighting, yet traders price just a 4% implied probability of the next UK general election date being declared by June 30, reflecting Starmer's firm commitment to serve until 2029 and no immediate no-confidence threats. Upcoming King's Speech and party maneuvers could shift dynamics, but constitutional hurdles favor stability in this fragmented political landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการเลือกตั้งในสหราชอาณาจักรเรียกโดย...?
การเลือกตั้งในสหราชอาณาจักรเรียกโดย...?
$752,120 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
30 มิถุนายน 2026
4%
$752,120 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
$26,396 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour government absorbed crushing defeats in the May 7 local and devolved elections across England, Scotland, and Wales, hemorrhaging nearly 1,500 councillors while Reform UK surged with over 1,450 gains amid voter fury over immigration, economic stagnation, and policy U-turns. This backlash has amplified calls for a snap general election—building on January petitions exceeding one million signatures—and sparked Labour infighting, yet traders price just a 4% implied probability of the next UK general election date being declared by June 30, reflecting Starmer's firm commitment to serve until 2029 and no immediate no-confidence threats. Upcoming King's Speech and party maneuvers could shift dynamics, but constitutional hurdles favor stability in this fragmented political landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$752,120วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour government absorbed crushing defeats in the May 7 local and devolved elections across England, Scotland, and Wales, hemorrhaging nearly 1,500 councillors while Reform UK surged with over 1,450 gains amid voter fury over immigration, economic stagnation, and policy U-turns. This backlash has amplified calls for a snap general election—building on January petitions exceeding one million signatures—and sparked Labour infighting, yet traders price just a 4% implied probability of the next UK general election date being declared by June 30, reflecting Starmer's firm commitment to serve until 2029 and no immediate no-confidence threats. Upcoming King's Speech and party maneuvers could shift dynamics, but constitutional hurdles favor stability in this fragmented political landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$752,120วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Keir Starmer's Labour government absorbed crushing defeats in the May 7 local and devolved elections across England, Scotland, and Wales, hemorrhaging nearly 1,500 councillors while Reform UK surged with over 1,450 gains amid voter fury over immigration, economic stagnation, and policy U-turns. This backlash has amplified calls for a snap general election—building on January petitions exceeding one million signatures—and sparked Labour infighting, yet traders price just a 4% implied probability of the next UK general election date being declared by June 30, reflecting Starmer's firm commitment to serve until 2029 and no immediate no-confidence threats. Upcoming King's Speech and party maneuvers could shift dynamics, but constitutional hurdles favor stability in this fragmented political landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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