Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro, near $495k as of late May 2026, anchor trader positioning, with the 43% implied probability on >$495k reflecting modest stabilization amid year-over-year declines of 3-6%. Elevated mortgage rates near 6%, elevated inventory exceeding 12,000 active listings, and longer days on market sustain downward pressure on valuations, supporting the 26% chance assigned to <$481k. Persistent buyer affordability constraints and insurance cost increases reinforce a buyer's market dynamic, while any near-term Fed easing could lift the lower-probability bands around $487k-$495k.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?
>$495k 50%
<$481k 31%
$481k - $484k 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
$481k - $484k
12%
$484k - $487k
10%
$493k - $495k
14%
$490k - $493k
14%
>$495k
41%
$487k - $490k
18%
<$481k
31%
>$495k 50%
<$481k 31%
$481k - $484k 10%
$493k - $495k 10%
$481k - $484k
12%
$484k - $487k
10%
$493k - $495k
14%
$490k - $493k
14%
>$495k
41%
$487k - $490k
18%
<$481k
31%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro, near $495k as of late May 2026, anchor trader positioning, with the 43% implied probability on >$495k reflecting modest stabilization amid year-over-year declines of 3-6%. Elevated mortgage rates near 6%, elevated inventory exceeding 12,000 active listings, and longer days on market sustain downward pressure on valuations, supporting the 26% chance assigned to <$481k. Persistent buyer affordability constraints and insurance cost increases reinforce a buyer's market dynamic, while any near-term Fed easing could lift the lower-probability bands around $487k-$495k.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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