Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?
What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?
<$481k 94%
$481k - $484k 9%
$484k - $487k 6.3%
>$495k 1.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
$481k - $484k
9%
$484k - $487k
7%
$493k - $495k
<1%
$490k - $493k
<1%
>$495k
1%
$487k - $490k
<1%
<$481k
78%
<$481k 94%
$481k - $484k 9%
$484k - $487k 6.3%
>$495k 1.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
$481k - $484k
$519 ปริมาณ
9%
$484k - $487k
$960 ปริมาณ
7%
$493k - $495k
$570 ปริมาณ
<1%
$490k - $493k
$543 ปริมาณ
<1%
>$495k
$986 ปริมาณ
1%
$487k - $490k
$606 ปริมาณ
<1%
<$481k
$1,007 ปริมาณ
78%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,191วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,191วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย