This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
TikTok's U.S. operations finalized a joint venture structure in January 2026, forming TikTok USDS LLC to comply with the 2024 divestiture law and avert a nationwide ban, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each holding 15% stakes for 80% non-Chinese ownership while ByteDance retains 19.9%. This addresses national security concerns over user data and algorithms hosted on Oracle infrastructure. Trader sentiment hinges on ongoing scrutiny, including a March lawsuit challenging Trump administration approval and lawmakers probing a reported $10 billion Treasury fee. A May child privacy settlement adds regulatory pressure; key court rulings could disrupt the platform's stability, user base, and competitive edge against Instagram Reels and YouTube Shorts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
TikTok's U.S. operations finalized a joint venture structure in January 2026, forming TikTok USDS LLC to comply with the 2024 divestiture law and avert a nationwide ban, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each holding 15% stakes for 80% non-Chinese ownership while ByteDance retains 19.9%. This addresses national security concerns over user data and algorithms hosted on Oracle infrastructure. Trader sentiment hinges on ongoing scrutiny, including a March lawsuit challenging Trump administration approval and lawmakers probing a reported $10 billion Treasury fee. A May child privacy settlement adds regulatory pressure; key court rulings could disrupt the platform's stability, user base, and competitive edge against Instagram Reels and YouTube Shorts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
Apr 28 2026
AP News reports the finalized TikTok U.S.
Walmart drops to 22%6%
joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake and the Emirati firm MGX, but makes no mention of Walmart, leading to a decline as investors reassess Walmart’s role
Mar 28 2026
Global Trade Magazine publishes that Oracle and Walmart have secured a combined 60 % stake in TikTok U.S.
Walmart jumps to 28%10%
operations, reaffirming Walmart’s participation and driving the
Mar 16 2026
Datacenter Dynamics reports the White House is back‑in talks with Oracle and Microsoft, but explicitly states “Walmart is not involved in this latest deal,” causing a sharp
Walmart jumps to 18%12%
Datacenter Dynamics reports the White House is back‑in talks with Oracle and Microsoft, but explicitly states “Walmart is not involved in this latest deal,” causing a sharp sell‑off and a 12‑point drop the next day
Jan 23 2026
Reports confirm majority American board now owns and operates TikTok US entity
Confirmation that TikTok US is majority American-owned under the new joint venture solidified the market view that Meta would not acquire TikTok, stabilizing the low
Jan 23 2026
Reuters notes U.S. lawmakers demanding scrutiny of the TikTok joint‑venture, citing investors such as Dell Family Office and “Walmart” among the backers, which dampened optimism
Walmart plunges to 6%21%
Reuters notes U.S. lawmakers demanding scrutiny of the TikTok joint‑venture, citing investors such as Dell Family Office and “Walmart” among the backers, which dampened optimism and pulled the
Jan 22 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Meta dips to 3%2%
The deal closing transferred control of TikTok’s US user data and operations to the new joint venture, effectively ending speculation about Meta acquiring TikTok's US business and pushing the
Jan 11 2026
AppLovin shares rise 2% after confirming timeline for its new social platform launch – Management gave a concrete rollout schedule, reviving belief that the company could still
AppLov1 jumps to 10%8%
AppLovin shares rise 2% after confirming timeline for its new social platform launch – Management gave a concrete rollout schedule, reviving belief that the company could still leverage TikTok‑related assets, pushing odds higher.
Dec 19 2025
Memo reveals Oracle to serve as trusted security partner in new TikTok US joint venture
Meta dips to 4%1%
Details emerged that Oracle would audit and secure TikTok US operations, reinforcing the consortium's control and further reducing Meta's acquisition chances, reflected in a slight
Dec 19 2025
NPR reported TikTok’s internal memo confirming the US spin-off deal closing expected January 22, 2026, reinforcing the Oracle-led consortium’s control and reducing Amazon’s
Amazon dips to 3%3%
NPR reported TikTok’s internal memo confirming the US spin-off deal closing expected January 22, 2026, reinforcing the Oracle-led consortium’s control and reducing Amazon’s acquisition probability
Dec 18 2025
TikTok signs deal to cede control of US business to American investor group including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Meta rises to 5%1%
TikTok officially agreed to transfer majority control of its US operations to a consortium of American investors, signaling a concrete path away from a Meta acquisition and causing a modest
Dec 18 2025
Axios reports TikTok U.S. sale deal signed valuing the business at $14 billion, with a consortium controlling the U.S.
Microsoft plunges to 5%46%
operations, but no exclusive Microsoft acquisition announced
Dec 18 2025
Pattern Group (an Amazon-related ecommerce player) announced acquisition of NextWave, expanding TikTok Shop and creator commerce capabilities, signaling Amazon’s indirect
Amazon drops to 6%6%
Pattern Group (an Amazon-related ecommerce player) announced acquisition of NextWave, expanding TikTok Shop and creator commerce capabilities, signaling Amazon’s indirect involvement in TikTok commerce but not ownership
Dec 18 2025
NPR confirms a deal in which Oracle‑led investor group (including Walmart) will purchase a 60 % stake in TikTok’s U.S.
Walmart surges to 27%25%
operations, creating “TikTok Global” – the first concrete confirmation of Walmart’s involvement and the biggest
Dec 16 2025
TikTok deal peaks at 51% as reports confirm binding agreements signed with a consortium including Oracle and Silver Lake, with Microsoft’s role unclear, causing a surge in
Microsoft surges to 51%46%
TikTok deal peaks at 51% as reports confirm binding agreements signed with a consortium including Oracle and Silver Lake, with Microsoft’s role unclear, causing a surge in acquisition speculation
Sep 22 2025
Official announcement of a new U.S.
Microsoft dips to 5%3%
joint venture for TikTok’s operations with American investors and no government stake, indicating a consortium approach rather than Microsoft-only acquisition
Sep 22 2025
TechCrunch reports that Walmart is among the “leading contenders” in the U.S.
Walmart dips to 2%3%
TikTok acquisition race, alongside Oracle and Microsoft, sparking early market interest
Sep 20 2025
White House announces that TikTok deal will include U.S.
Microsoft rises to 8%2%
control of the algorithm, a key negotiation point, but no confirmation of Microsoft as sole acquirer
Sep 17 2025
President Trump announced a preliminary agreement between the US and China to keep TikTok operating in the US, with a requirement for TikTok’s American assets to be transferred to
Amazon drops to 2%9%
President Trump announced a preliminary agreement between the US and China to keep TikTok operating in the US, with a requirement for TikTok’s American assets to be transferred to US owners, sparking initial market interest in acquisition bids including Amazon
Sep 17 2025
Reports emerge of multiple bidders including Microsoft, Oracle, and investor groups competing to acquire TikTok’s U.S.
Microsoft dips to 6%1%
operations, fueling uncertainty and
Sep 16 2025
President Trump extends TikTok ban deadline multiple times while negotiations continue for US ownership transfer
Meta drops to 3%7%
Trump's repeated extensions of the TikTok ban deadline delayed enforcement of the law requiring TikTok's US operations to be sold to American owners, creating uncertainty but reducing Meta's immediate acquisition prospects.
Sep 16 2025
U.S. and China reach a framework agreement for TikTok’s U.S.
Microsoft dips to 7%4%
operations to be majority American-owned, extending the divestiture deadline and involving a consortium of investors, but no exclusive Microsoft deal announced
Jan 26 2025
White House confirms talks with Microsoft and Oracle over TikTok acquisition as part of efforts to take control of TikTok’s U.S.
Microsoft drops to 5%6%
operations amid national security concerns
Jan 14 2025
Reports emerge that Chinese officials are considering selling TikTok’s U.S.
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 5%6%
business to Elon Musk to avoid a U.S. ban; TikTok calls these claims "pure fiction"
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
TikTok's U.S. operations finalized a joint venture structure in January 2026, forming TikTok USDS LLC to comply with the 2024 divestiture law and avert a nationwide ban, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each holding 15% stakes for 80% non-Chinese ownership while ByteDance retains 19.9%. This addresses national security concerns over user data and algorithms hosted on Oracle infrastructure. Trader sentiment hinges on ongoing scrutiny, including a March lawsuit challenging Trump administration approval and lawmakers probing a reported $10 billion Treasury fee. A May child privacy settlement adds regulatory pressure; key court rulings could disrupt the platform's stability, user base, and competitive edge against Instagram Reels and YouTube Shorts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
TikTok's U.S. operations finalized a joint venture structure in January 2026, forming TikTok USDS LLC to comply with the 2024 divestiture law and avert a nationwide ban, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each holding 15% stakes for 80% non-Chinese ownership while ByteDance retains 19.9%. This addresses national security concerns over user data and algorithms hosted on Oracle infrastructure. Trader sentiment hinges on ongoing scrutiny, including a March lawsuit challenging Trump administration approval and lawmakers probing a reported $10 billion Treasury fee. A May child privacy settlement adds regulatory pressure; key court rulings could disrupt the platform's stability, user base, and competitive edge against Instagram Reels and YouTube Shorts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
Apr 28 2026
AP News reports the finalized TikTok U.S.
Walmart drops to 22%6%
joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake and the Emirati firm MGX, but makes no mention of Walmart, leading to a decline as investors reassess Walmart’s role
Mar 28 2026
Global Trade Magazine publishes that Oracle and Walmart have secured a combined 60 % stake in TikTok U.S.
Walmart jumps to 28%10%
operations, reaffirming Walmart’s participation and driving the
Mar 16 2026
Datacenter Dynamics reports the White House is back‑in talks with Oracle and Microsoft, but explicitly states “Walmart is not involved in this latest deal,” causing a sharp
Walmart jumps to 18%12%
Datacenter Dynamics reports the White House is back‑in talks with Oracle and Microsoft, but explicitly states “Walmart is not involved in this latest deal,” causing a sharp sell‑off and a 12‑point drop the next day
Jan 23 2026
Reports confirm majority American board now owns and operates TikTok US entity
Confirmation that TikTok US is majority American-owned under the new joint venture solidified the market view that Meta would not acquire TikTok, stabilizing the low
Jan 23 2026
Reuters notes U.S. lawmakers demanding scrutiny of the TikTok joint‑venture, citing investors such as Dell Family Office and “Walmart” among the backers, which dampened optimism
Walmart plunges to 6%21%
Reuters notes U.S. lawmakers demanding scrutiny of the TikTok joint‑venture, citing investors such as Dell Family Office and “Walmart” among the backers, which dampened optimism and pulled the
Jan 22 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Meta dips to 3%2%
The deal closing transferred control of TikTok’s US user data and operations to the new joint venture, effectively ending speculation about Meta acquiring TikTok's US business and pushing the
Jan 11 2026
AppLovin shares rise 2% after confirming timeline for its new social platform launch – Management gave a concrete rollout schedule, reviving belief that the company could still
AppLov1 jumps to 10%8%
AppLovin shares rise 2% after confirming timeline for its new social platform launch – Management gave a concrete rollout schedule, reviving belief that the company could still leverage TikTok‑related assets, pushing odds higher.
Dec 19 2025
Memo reveals Oracle to serve as trusted security partner in new TikTok US joint venture
Meta dips to 4%1%
Details emerged that Oracle would audit and secure TikTok US operations, reinforcing the consortium's control and further reducing Meta's acquisition chances, reflected in a slight
Dec 19 2025
NPR reported TikTok’s internal memo confirming the US spin-off deal closing expected January 22, 2026, reinforcing the Oracle-led consortium’s control and reducing Amazon’s
Amazon dips to 3%3%
NPR reported TikTok’s internal memo confirming the US spin-off deal closing expected January 22, 2026, reinforcing the Oracle-led consortium’s control and reducing Amazon’s acquisition probability
Dec 18 2025
TikTok signs deal to cede control of US business to American investor group including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Meta rises to 5%1%
TikTok officially agreed to transfer majority control of its US operations to a consortium of American investors, signaling a concrete path away from a Meta acquisition and causing a modest
Dec 18 2025
Axios reports TikTok U.S. sale deal signed valuing the business at $14 billion, with a consortium controlling the U.S.
Microsoft plunges to 5%46%
operations, but no exclusive Microsoft acquisition announced
Dec 18 2025
Pattern Group (an Amazon-related ecommerce player) announced acquisition of NextWave, expanding TikTok Shop and creator commerce capabilities, signaling Amazon’s indirect
Amazon drops to 6%6%
Pattern Group (an Amazon-related ecommerce player) announced acquisition of NextWave, expanding TikTok Shop and creator commerce capabilities, signaling Amazon’s indirect involvement in TikTok commerce but not ownership
Dec 18 2025
NPR confirms a deal in which Oracle‑led investor group (including Walmart) will purchase a 60 % stake in TikTok’s U.S.
Walmart surges to 27%25%
operations, creating “TikTok Global” – the first concrete confirmation of Walmart’s involvement and the biggest
Dec 16 2025
TikTok deal peaks at 51% as reports confirm binding agreements signed with a consortium including Oracle and Silver Lake, with Microsoft’s role unclear, causing a surge in
Microsoft surges to 51%46%
TikTok deal peaks at 51% as reports confirm binding agreements signed with a consortium including Oracle and Silver Lake, with Microsoft’s role unclear, causing a surge in acquisition speculation
Sep 22 2025
Official announcement of a new U.S.
Microsoft dips to 5%3%
joint venture for TikTok’s operations with American investors and no government stake, indicating a consortium approach rather than Microsoft-only acquisition
Sep 22 2025
TechCrunch reports that Walmart is among the “leading contenders” in the U.S.
Walmart dips to 2%3%
TikTok acquisition race, alongside Oracle and Microsoft, sparking early market interest
Sep 20 2025
White House announces that TikTok deal will include U.S.
Microsoft rises to 8%2%
control of the algorithm, a key negotiation point, but no confirmation of Microsoft as sole acquirer
Sep 17 2025
President Trump announced a preliminary agreement between the US and China to keep TikTok operating in the US, with a requirement for TikTok’s American assets to be transferred to
Amazon drops to 2%9%
President Trump announced a preliminary agreement between the US and China to keep TikTok operating in the US, with a requirement for TikTok’s American assets to be transferred to US owners, sparking initial market interest in acquisition bids including Amazon
Sep 17 2025
Reports emerge of multiple bidders including Microsoft, Oracle, and investor groups competing to acquire TikTok’s U.S.
Microsoft dips to 6%1%
operations, fueling uncertainty and
Sep 16 2025
President Trump extends TikTok ban deadline multiple times while negotiations continue for US ownership transfer
Meta drops to 3%7%
Trump's repeated extensions of the TikTok ban deadline delayed enforcement of the law requiring TikTok's US operations to be sold to American owners, creating uncertainty but reducing Meta's immediate acquisition prospects.
Sep 16 2025
U.S. and China reach a framework agreement for TikTok’s U.S.
Microsoft dips to 7%4%
operations to be majority American-owned, extending the divestiture deadline and involving a consortium of investors, but no exclusive Microsoft deal announced
Jan 26 2025
White House confirms talks with Microsoft and Oracle over TikTok acquisition as part of efforts to take control of TikTok’s U.S.
Microsoft drops to 5%6%
operations amid national security concerns
Jan 14 2025
Reports emerge that Chinese officials are considering selling TikTok’s U.S.
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 5%6%
business to Elon Musk to avoid a U.S. ban; TikTok calls these claims "pure fiction"
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