Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$162,246 ปริมาณ
John Brennan
31%
James Clapper
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
21%
Brandon Johnson
25%
Tom Homan
17%
Mahmoud Khalil
23%
Letitia James
27%
Loretta Lynch
15%
Anthony Fauci
14%
James Comey
13%
Adam Schiff
10%
Gavin Newsom
7%
John Kerry
7%
Candace Owens
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
12%
Kash Patel
6%
Susan Rice
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Lisa Cook
6%
Pam Bondi
4%
Lee Jun-seok
19%
Bill Clinton
3%
Joe Biden
3%
Barack Obama
2%
$162,246 ปริมาณ
John Brennan
$7,086 ปริมาณ
31%
James Clapper
$2,674 ปริมาณ
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$9,857 ปริมาณ
21%
Brandon Johnson
$2,920 ปริมาณ
25%
Tom Homan
$31,219 ปริมาณ
17%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,223 ปริมาณ
23%
Letitia James
$1,340 ปริมาณ
27%
Loretta Lynch
$2,139 ปริมาณ
15%
Anthony Fauci
$14,486 ปริมาณ
14%
James Comey
$9,274 ปริมาณ
13%
Adam Schiff
$12,185 ปริมาณ
10%
Gavin Newsom
$26,721 ปริมาณ
7%
John Kerry
$185 ปริมาณ
7%
Candace Owens
$257 ปริมาณ
14%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$310 ปริมาณ
12%
Kash Patel
$213 ปริมาณ
6%
Susan Rice
$282 ปริมาณ
6%
Hillary Clinton
$16,207 ปริมาณ
6%
Lisa Cook
$660 ปริมาณ
6%
Pam Bondi
$1,551 ปริมาณ
4%
Lee Jun-seok
$555 ปริมาณ
19%
Bill Clinton
$558 ปริมาณ
3%
Joe Biden
$2,094 ปริมาณ
3%
Barack Obama
$18,251 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$162,246ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$162,246ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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