Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects ongoing federal investigations and legal proceedings involving prominent political figures, intelligence officials, and public personalities. Key drivers include active cases or scrutiny tied to prior government roles, such as those associated with the intelligence community or state-level prosecutions, alongside broader enforcement priorities from agencies like the DOJ. Recent months have seen continued focus on extradition matters and high-profile charges, though no resolutions have directly aligned with leading market options. Upcoming court dates, potential indictments, or shifts in prosecutorial strategy through late 2026 remain the primary variables that could influence probabilities before the year-end cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$357,195 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
21%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
28%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
3%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
14%
Lisa Cook
11%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$357,195 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
$128,333 ปริมาณ
12%
John Brennan
$18,168 ปริมาณ
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,493 ปริมาณ
21%
Adam Schiff
$16,394 ปริมาณ
3%
Barack Obama
$28,484 ปริมาณ
1%
James Comey
$9,601 ปริมาณ
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,278 ปริมาณ
28%
James Clapper
$6,706 ปริมาณ
13%
Letitia James
$2,821 ปริมาณ
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 ปริมาณ
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,008 ปริมาณ
3%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 ปริมาณ
11%
Susan Rice
$304 ปริมาณ
9%
Candace Owens
$263 ปริมาณ
6%
Gavin Newsom
$37,141 ปริมาณ
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 ปริมาณ
5%
John Kerry
$346 ปริมาณ
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 ปริมาณ
3%
Tom Homan
$39,428 ปริมาณ
11%
Kash Patel
$530 ปริมาณ
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,174 ปริมาณ
14%
Lisa Cook
$3,218 ปริมาณ
11%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 ปริมาณ
11%
Joe Biden
$5,538 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects ongoing federal investigations and legal proceedings involving prominent political figures, intelligence officials, and public personalities. Key drivers include active cases or scrutiny tied to prior government roles, such as those associated with the intelligence community or state-level prosecutions, alongside broader enforcement priorities from agencies like the DOJ. Recent months have seen continued focus on extradition matters and high-profile charges, though no resolutions have directly aligned with leading market options. Upcoming court dates, potential indictments, or shifts in prosecutorial strategy through late 2026 remain the primary variables that could influence probabilities before the year-end cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$357,195ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects ongoing federal investigations and legal proceedings involving prominent political figures, intelligence officials, and public personalities. Key drivers include active cases or scrutiny tied to prior government roles, such as those associated with the intelligence community or state-level prosecutions, alongside broader enforcement priorities from agencies like the DOJ. Recent months have seen continued focus on extradition matters and high-profile charges, though no resolutions have directly aligned with leading market options. Upcoming court dates, potential indictments, or shifts in prosecutorial strategy through late 2026 remain the primary variables that could influence probabilities before the year-end cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$357,195ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus in this prediction market reflects ongoing federal investigations and legal proceedings involving prominent political figures, intelligence officials, and public personalities. Key drivers include active cases or scrutiny tied to prior government roles, such as those associated with the intelligence community or state-level prosecutions, alongside broader enforcement priorities from agencies like the DOJ. Recent months have seen continued focus on extradition matters and high-profile charges, though no resolutions have directly aligned with leading market options. Upcoming court dates, potential indictments, or shifts in prosecutorial strategy through late 2026 remain the primary variables that could influence probabilities before the year-end cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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