Ongoing investigations and legal proceedings involving former U.S. officials and public figures continue to shape expectations around arrests before 2027. Key drivers include the status of federal and state probes into intelligence matters, public health policy decisions, and related congressional oversight, which could produce new charges or trigger existing warrants depending on prosecutorial priorities and court timelines. Recent enforcement actions by agencies such as ICE highlight broader shifts in arrest volume and focus, though these primarily affect immigration cases rather than the high-profile individuals priced in the market. Resolution hinges on verifiable formal arrests by year-end 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over appeals, plea outcomes, and any late-stage indictments that could alter probabilities in a short window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$365,248 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
29%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
12%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
11%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$365,248 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
$135,467 ปริมาณ
12%
John Brennan
$18,171 ปริมาณ
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,677 ปริมาณ
23%
Adam Schiff
$16,394 ปริมาณ
3%
Barack Obama
$28,805 ปริมาณ
1%
James Comey
$9,602 ปริมาณ
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,308 ปริมาณ
29%
James Clapper
$6,726 ปริมาณ
13%
Letitia James
$2,848 ปริมาณ
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 ปริมาณ
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,494 ปริมาณ
3%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 ปริมาณ
10%
Susan Rice
$304 ปริมาณ
8%
Candace Owens
$263 ปริมาณ
6%
Gavin Newsom
$37,596 ปริมาณ
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 ปริมาณ
5%
John Kerry
$346 ปริมาณ
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 ปริมาณ
4%
Tom Homan
$39,684 ปริมาณ
12%
Kash Patel
$530 ปริมาณ
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 ปริมาณ
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,319 ปริมาณ
11%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 ปริมาณ
11%
Joe Biden
$5,538 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations and legal proceedings involving former U.S. officials and public figures continue to shape expectations around arrests before 2027. Key drivers include the status of federal and state probes into intelligence matters, public health policy decisions, and related congressional oversight, which could produce new charges or trigger existing warrants depending on prosecutorial priorities and court timelines. Recent enforcement actions by agencies such as ICE highlight broader shifts in arrest volume and focus, though these primarily affect immigration cases rather than the high-profile individuals priced in the market. Resolution hinges on verifiable formal arrests by year-end 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over appeals, plea outcomes, and any late-stage indictments that could alter probabilities in a short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$365,248ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations and legal proceedings involving former U.S. officials and public figures continue to shape expectations around arrests before 2027. Key drivers include the status of federal and state probes into intelligence matters, public health policy decisions, and related congressional oversight, which could produce new charges or trigger existing warrants depending on prosecutorial priorities and court timelines. Recent enforcement actions by agencies such as ICE highlight broader shifts in arrest volume and focus, though these primarily affect immigration cases rather than the high-profile individuals priced in the market. Resolution hinges on verifiable formal arrests by year-end 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over appeals, plea outcomes, and any late-stage indictments that could alter probabilities in a short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$365,248ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing investigations and legal proceedings involving former U.S. officials and public figures continue to shape expectations around arrests before 2027. Key drivers include the status of federal and state probes into intelligence matters, public health policy decisions, and related congressional oversight, which could produce new charges or trigger existing warrants depending on prosecutorial priorities and court timelines. Recent enforcement actions by agencies such as ICE highlight broader shifts in arrest volume and focus, though these primarily affect immigration cases rather than the high-profile individuals priced in the market. Resolution hinges on verifiable formal arrests by year-end 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over appeals, plea outcomes, and any late-stage indictments that could alter probabilities in a short window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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