The UN Secretary-General selection remains highly competitive as the Security Council weighs multiple qualified candidates ahead of António Guterres’ departure at the end of 2026. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Rebeca Grynspan holding a narrow lead after an informal July straw poll gave her the most “encourage” votes, while Colombe Cahen-Salvador, Achim Steiner, and Rafael Grossi stay within striking distance due to shifting regional support, P5 preferences, and concerns over development priorities versus institutional reform. Interactive dialogues and ongoing private negotiations continue to shape momentum, but no candidate has secured the broad consensus needed to clear potential vetoes. Further straw polls or major-power endorsements could quickly widen the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%
Rafael Grossi 31%
Michelle Bachelet 3.6%
Jacinda Ardern 3.5%
$80,086 ปริมาณ
$80,086 ปริมาณ
Rebeca Grynspan
45%
Rafael Grossi
31%
Michelle Bachelet
4%
Jacinda Ardern
4%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
2%
Kristalina Georgieva
1%
Bruno Donat
1%
Amina Mohammed
1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
35%
Achim Steiner
34%
Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%
Rafael Grossi 31%
Michelle Bachelet 3.6%
Jacinda Ardern 3.5%
$80,086 ปริมาณ
$80,086 ปริมาณ
Rebeca Grynspan
45%
Rafael Grossi
31%
Michelle Bachelet
4%
Jacinda Ardern
4%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
2%
Kristalina Georgieva
1%
Bruno Donat
1%
Amina Mohammed
1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
35%
Achim Steiner
34%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The UN Secretary-General selection remains highly competitive as the Security Council weighs multiple qualified candidates ahead of António Guterres’ departure at the end of 2026. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Rebeca Grynspan holding a narrow lead after an informal July straw poll gave her the most “encourage” votes, while Colombe Cahen-Salvador, Achim Steiner, and Rafael Grossi stay within striking distance due to shifting regional support, P5 preferences, and concerns over development priorities versus institutional reform. Interactive dialogues and ongoing private negotiations continue to shape momentum, but no candidate has secured the broad consensus needed to clear potential vetoes. Further straw polls or major-power endorsements could quickly widen the gap.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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