The ongoing UN Secretary-General selection process, formally launched in November 2025 for a five-year term beginning January 2027, centers on Security Council consensus followed by General Assembly approval, with regional rotation favoring a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group. Trader consensus positions Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner at 38.5 percent, reflecting his experience as IAEA director general navigating nuclear diplomacy and relations with permanent Security Council members. Maria Fernanda Espinosa at 23.4 percent and Rebeca Grynspan at 13.4 percent draw support from their prior roles in multilateral institutions and national leadership. April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed the main contenders, including Michelle Bachelet, to present visions on global crises, highlighting factors such as diplomatic networks and perceived ability to manage institutional challenges that shape current probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Rafael Grossi 49%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 21.8%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.8%
Michelle Bachelet 12.3%
$60,769 ปริมาณ
$60,769 ปริมาณ
Rafael Grossi
39%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
22%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
12%
Jacinda Ardern
4%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
Rafael Grossi 49%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 21.8%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.8%
Michelle Bachelet 12.3%
$60,769 ปริมาณ
$60,769 ปริมาณ
Rafael Grossi
39%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
22%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
12%
Jacinda Ardern
4%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The ongoing UN Secretary-General selection process, formally launched in November 2025 for a five-year term beginning January 2027, centers on Security Council consensus followed by General Assembly approval, with regional rotation favoring a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group. Trader consensus positions Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner at 38.5 percent, reflecting his experience as IAEA director general navigating nuclear diplomacy and relations with permanent Security Council members. Maria Fernanda Espinosa at 23.4 percent and Rebeca Grynspan at 13.4 percent draw support from their prior roles in multilateral institutions and national leadership. April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed the main contenders, including Michelle Bachelet, to present visions on global crises, highlighting factors such as diplomatic networks and perceived ability to manage institutional challenges that shape current probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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