Petr Yan holds the UFC bantamweight title after his decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in late 2025, giving him clear momentum heading into 2026 and driving the strongest trader consensus at 57 percent implied probability. Dvalishvili’s prior dominant reign, which included multiple defenses and a win over Umar Nurmagomedov, keeps him as the primary challenger at 22 percent, with a potential trilogy bout targeted for summer. Sean O’Malley’s recent striking win over Song Yadong has lifted him to 9.5 percent, while Nurmagomedov’s strong rebound against Mario Bautista positions him at 8 percent as the next logical contender. These probabilities reflect recent form, title experience, and upcoming matchmaking in a stacked division where late-year shifts remain possible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPetr Yan 57%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Merab Dvalishvili 15%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8%
$302,537 ปริมาณ
$302,537 ปริมาณ
Petr Yan
57%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Merab Dvalishvili
20%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Petr Yan 57%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Merab Dvalishvili 15%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8%
$302,537 ปริมาณ
$302,537 ปริมาณ
Petr Yan
57%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Merab Dvalishvili
20%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan holds the UFC bantamweight title after his decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in late 2025, giving him clear momentum heading into 2026 and driving the strongest trader consensus at 57 percent implied probability. Dvalishvili’s prior dominant reign, which included multiple defenses and a win over Umar Nurmagomedov, keeps him as the primary challenger at 22 percent, with a potential trilogy bout targeted for summer. Sean O’Malley’s recent striking win over Song Yadong has lifted him to 9.5 percent, while Nurmagomedov’s strong rebound against Mario Bautista positions him at 8 percent as the next logical contender. These probabilities reflect recent form, title experience, and upcoming matchmaking in a stacked division where late-year shifts remain possible.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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