Aaron Rodgers signed a one-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers in May 2026 and explicitly confirmed during organized team activities that the upcoming campaign marks his final NFL season. At age 42, the four-time MVP enters what he described as a farewell tour after previously returning from Achilles surgery and navigating multiple team transitions. Traders assign a 97.8% implied probability to him not retiring before the 2026 regular season begins, reflecting his active roster status, guaranteed money, and consistent public messaging. Plausible shifts remain limited to a significant preseason injury forcing retirement, an unexpected release by Pittsburgh, or a sudden personal decision, though none appear imminent based on current reporting.