**An American has not won the US Open men's singles since Andy Roddick in 2003, and the 2026 women's draw offers no realistic path.** The women's final features Aryna Sabalenka against Elena Rybakina after both Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff fell in the semifinals. On the men's side, an American is guaranteed a finalist spot via the all-American semifinal between Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe. Shelton advanced with a dramatic five-set quarterfinal upset of defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, while Tiafoe rallied from two sets down against Alex Michelsen. However, the winner faces either top seed Alexander Zverev (the current favorite at roughly 50-51% implied probability) or Karen Khachanov in the final. Zverev's strong recent form, including his French Open title, and the historical difficulty of closing out a first major for Shelton or Tiafoe underpin the market's 64% probability on "No." Traders are pricing the substantial but not overwhelming edge for a non-American champion in Sunday's final.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว36% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
36% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**An American has not won the US Open men's singles since Andy Roddick in 2003, and the 2026 women's draw offers no realistic path.** The women's final features Aryna Sabalenka against Elena Rybakina after both Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff fell in the semifinals. On the men's side, an American is guaranteed a finalist spot via the all-American semifinal between Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe.
Shelton advanced with a dramatic five-set quarterfinal upset of defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, while Tiafoe rallied from two sets down against Alex Michelsen. However, the winner faces either top seed Alexander Zverev (the current favorite at roughly 50-51% implied probability) or Karen Khachanov in the final. Zverev's strong recent form, including his French Open title, and the historical difficulty of closing out a first major for Shelton or Tiafoe underpin the market's 64% probability on "No."
Traders are pricing the substantial but not overwhelming edge for a non-American champion in Sunday's final.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,485วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.usopen.org/index.htmlผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**An American has not won the US Open men's singles since Andy Roddick in 2003, and the 2026 women's draw offers no realistic path.** The women's final features Aryna Sabalenka against Elena Rybakina after both Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff fell in the semifinals. On the men's side, an American is guaranteed a finalist spot via the all-American semifinal between Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe.
Shelton advanced with a dramatic five-set quarterfinal upset of defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, while Tiafoe rallied from two sets down against Alex Michelsen. However, the winner faces either top seed Alexander Zverev (the current favorite at roughly 50-51% implied probability) or Karen Khachanov in the final. Zverev's strong recent form, including his French Open title, and the historical difficulty of closing out a first major for Shelton or Tiafoe underpin the market's 64% probability on "No."
Traders are pricing the substantial but not overwhelming edge for a non-American champion in Sunday's final.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,485วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.usopen.org/index.htmlผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**An American has not won the US Open men's singles since Andy Roddick in 2003, and the 2026 women's draw offers no realistic path.** The women's final features Aryna Sabalenka against Elena Rybakina after both Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff fell in the semifinals. On the men's side, an American is guaranteed a finalist spot via the all-American semifinal between Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe. Shelton advanced with a dramatic five-set quarterfinal upset of defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, while Tiafoe rallied from two sets down against Alex Michelsen. However, the winner faces either top seed Alexander Zverev (the current favorite at roughly 50-51% implied probability) or Karen Khachanov in the final. Zverev's strong recent form, including his French Open title, and the historical difficulty of closing out a first major for Shelton or Tiafoe underpin the market's 64% probability on "No." Traders are pricing the substantial but not overwhelming edge for a non-American champion in Sunday's final.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย