President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal austerity, peso devaluation, and a floating exchange rate backed by IMF programs and a $20 billion U.S. currency swap rather than official dollarization. No legislation has advanced to eliminate the peso or designate the dollar as sole legal tender, and reserves plus central-bank balance-sheet constraints remain unresolved. With the June 30, 2026, resolution date only days away, traders assign a 99 percent probability to “No” because the procedural and technical steps required for formal adoption cannot realistically be completed. The sole plausible shifts would involve an unforeseen last-minute executive decree or congressional vote that immediately pegs or replaces the currency—developments absent from current policy signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$31,164 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
<1%
December 31, 2026
15%
$31,164 ปริมาณ
June 30, 2026
$27,870 ปริมาณ
<1%
December 31, 2026
$3,294 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal austerity, peso devaluation, and a floating exchange rate backed by IMF programs and a $20 billion U.S. currency swap rather than official dollarization. No legislation has advanced to eliminate the peso or designate the dollar as sole legal tender, and reserves plus central-bank balance-sheet constraints remain unresolved. With the June 30, 2026, resolution date only days away, traders assign a 99 percent probability to “No” because the procedural and technical steps required for formal adoption cannot realistically be completed. The sole plausible shifts would involve an unforeseen last-minute executive decree or congressional vote that immediately pegs or replaces the currency—developments absent from current policy signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,164วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal austerity, peso devaluation, and a floating exchange rate backed by IMF programs and a $20 billion U.S. currency swap rather than official dollarization. No legislation has advanced to eliminate the peso or designate the dollar as sole legal tender, and reserves plus central-bank balance-sheet constraints remain unresolved. With the June 30, 2026, resolution date only days away, traders assign a 99 percent probability to “No” because the procedural and technical steps required for formal adoption cannot realistically be completed. The sole plausible shifts would involve an unforeseen last-minute executive decree or congressional vote that immediately pegs or replaces the currency—developments absent from current policy signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,164วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal austerity, peso devaluation, and a floating exchange rate backed by IMF programs and a $20 billion U.S. currency swap rather than official dollarization. No legislation has advanced to eliminate the peso or designate the dollar as sole legal tender, and reserves plus central-bank balance-sheet constraints remain unresolved. With the June 30, 2026, resolution date only days away, traders assign a 99 percent probability to “No” because the procedural and technical steps required for formal adoption cannot realistically be completed. The sole plausible shifts would involve an unforeseen last-minute executive decree or congressional vote that immediately pegs or replaces the currency—developments absent from current policy signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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