Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$88,825 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 1.40
6%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
7%
↑ 1.26
7%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
22%
↑ 1.20
25%
↓ 1.12
46%
↓ 1.10
41%
↓ 1.05
8%
↓ 1.00
8%
$88,825 ปริมาณ
↑ 1.40
$2,114 ปริมาณ
6%
↑ 1.35
$1,515 ปริมาณ
9%
↑ 1.30
$901 ปริมาณ
7%
↑ 1.26
$3,132 ปริมาณ
7%
↑ 1.24
$2,438 ปริมาณ
9%
↑ 1.22
$399 ปริมาณ
22%
↑ 1.20
$40,964 ปริมาณ
25%
↓ 1.12
$2,826 ปริมาณ
46%
↓ 1.10
$3,945 ปริมาณ
41%
↓ 1.05
$6,111 ปริมาณ
8%
↓ 1.00
$4,490 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,825วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,825วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the Federal Reserve holding its target range at 3.50–3.75 percent after three 2025 cuts while the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.25 percent in June before holding steady. This 125–150 basis point gap continues to support the dollar, though recent weaker U.S. employment data and resilient euro-area Q2 growth of 0.4 percent have narrowed market-implied expectations for further Fed tightening. Traders are watching September ECB and FOMC meetings for signals on whether the differential will compress, alongside inflation trajectories and any geopolitical shifts affecting risk sentiment. Current spot levels near 1.154 reflect these competing forces, with analyst forecasts for year-end ranging from 1.10 to above 1.20 depending on the pace of policy convergence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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