Trader consensus prices "No" at 92.5% on New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani passing his proposed 2% income tax surcharge on residents earning over $1 million before 2027, reflecting stalled legislative progress amid opposition from Governor Kathy Hochul and real estate interests. Recent developments center on a narrower pied-à-terre tax on luxury second homes owned by nonresidents, announced April 15 with Hochul's backing and advancing in Albany, expected to raise $500 million annually but falling short of the broader millionaire tax's revenue goals. No bill introduction or committee action on the specific 2% proposal has occurred in the 2026 session, with critics highlighting risks of wealth flight and budget shortfalls, leaving slim odds for passage before the June legislative adjournment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$58,414 ปริมาณ
$58,414 ปริมาณ
$58,414 ปริมาณ
$58,414 ปริมาณ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).
When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 92.5% on New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani passing his proposed 2% income tax surcharge on residents earning over $1 million before 2027, reflecting stalled legislative progress amid opposition from Governor Kathy Hochul and real estate interests. Recent developments center on a narrower pied-à-terre tax on luxury second homes owned by nonresidents, announced April 15 with Hochul's backing and advancing in Albany, expected to raise $500 million annually but falling short of the broader millionaire tax's revenue goals. No bill introduction or committee action on the specific 2% proposal has occurred in the 2026 session, with critics highlighting risks of wealth flight and budget shortfalls, leaving slim odds for passage before the June legislative adjournment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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