Roger Federer’s 2022 retirement from professional tennis remains the dominant factor anchoring the near-certain trader consensus that he will not appear at Wimbledon. The 20-time Grand Slam champion has not entered any ATP events or official qualifiers since the Laver Cup farewell, and at age 44 his competitive schedule shows no signs of resumption. Recent interviews and public appearances continue to focus on his post-playing life rather than a potential comeback, while official ATP and Wimbledon entry lists confirm his absence. Although isolated remarks about missing the grass-court major occasionally circulate, no credible reports indicate renewed training or medical clearance for elite-level play. The only scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities involve a highly improbable late announcement or dramatic health reversal, both of which lack supporting evidence from established tennis sources.