Early positioning by a deep bench of male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and J.B. Pritzker shapes trader sentiment for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Newsom leads national polling averages and related markets at around 24 percent, driven by his executive record and recent high-profile endorsements, while other men register steady support in fragmented early surveys. Female candidates including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail with lower single-digit to low-20s shares amid donor caution and a still-wide-open field. No candidates have formally declared, but the aggregate weight of male prospects in current polling and prediction-market pricing sustains the 64 percent implied probability that the nominee will not be a woman. Upcoming 2026 midterms and primary infrastructure-building could shift these dynamics before formal contests begin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
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Nov 7, 2028
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Nov 7, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early positioning by a deep bench of male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and J.B. Pritzker shapes trader sentiment for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Newsom leads national polling averages and related markets at around 24 percent, driven by his executive record and recent high-profile endorsements, while other men register steady support in fragmented early surveys. Female candidates including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail with lower single-digit to low-20s shares amid donor caution and a still-wide-open field. No candidates have formally declared, but the aggregate weight of male prospects in current polling and prediction-market pricing sustains the 64 percent implied probability that the nominee will not be a woman. Upcoming 2026 midterms and primary infrastructure-building could shift these dynamics before formal contests begin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,187วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early positioning by a deep bench of male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and J.B. Pritzker shapes trader sentiment for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Newsom leads national polling averages and related markets at around 24 percent, driven by his executive record and recent high-profile endorsements, while other men register steady support in fragmented early surveys. Female candidates including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail with lower single-digit to low-20s shares amid donor caution and a still-wide-open field. No candidates have formally declared, but the aggregate weight of male prospects in current polling and prediction-market pricing sustains the 64 percent implied probability that the nominee will not be a woman. Upcoming 2026 midterms and primary infrastructure-building could shift these dynamics before formal contests begin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,187วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early positioning by a deep bench of male contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and J.B. Pritzker shapes trader sentiment for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Newsom leads national polling averages and related markets at around 24 percent, driven by his executive record and recent high-profile endorsements, while other men register steady support in fragmented early surveys. Female candidates including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail with lower single-digit to low-20s shares amid donor caution and a still-wide-open field. No candidates have formally declared, but the aggregate weight of male prospects in current polling and prediction-market pricing sustains the 64 percent implied probability that the nominee will not be a woman. Upcoming 2026 midterms and primary infrastructure-building could shift these dynamics before formal contests begin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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