Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
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ใหม่
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,941วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,941วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's current estimated $90 million level—modest after recent rollovers on May 11 and 13 drawings with no grand prize winners—leaving it vastly short of $1 billion. With only seven drawings remaining through the May 31 finale (next on Saturday, May 16), historical growth patterns add roughly $20-50 million per rollover early on, accelerating modestly with ticket sales but rarely exceeding $400-500 million in such a short span absent a prolonged no-winner streak. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects precise math over lottery hype, as billion-dollar prizes demand 30+ consecutive rollovers. Realistic upsets hinge on freakishly zero winners despite 1-in-292-million odds and unprecedented sales surges, though probability remains negligible amid typical mid-sized jackpot dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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